Vistra Corp. · Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Scores & Status Key
AI Summary Scores: Intraday / Swing / Long scores are synthesized from multi-factor analysis for each timeframe. They summarize current conditions discussed in the report and do not constitute trading recommendations.
Intraday Trend Score: A 0–100 composite from the Trend Explorer™ analytics engine used for ranking and comparison. It describes current conditions and is not a forecast.
Trend Status: A rules-based label (Bullish / Mixed / Bearish) derived from signal confluence (trend structure, momentum, and positioning). It indicates alignment, not expected return.
Last
$173.72
−$3.10 (−1.76%) 4:00 PM ET
After hours$173.40
−$0.31 (−0.18%) 4:20 PM ET
Prev closePrevC$176.82
OpenOpen$174.41
Day highHigh$178.03
Day lowLow$170.98
VolumeVol5,042,089
Avg volAvgVol5,789,535
On chart
Interval
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Scale: Linear
Overlays
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Style
Scale: Linear
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Tickers only (no ^ indexes). Add up to 5.
Mkt cap
$58.92B
P/E ratio
62.71
FY Revenue
$17.19B
EPS
2.77
Gross Margin
50.23%
Sector
Utilities
AI report sections
BULLISH
VST
Vistra Corp.
Vistra Corp. combines solid profitability and free cash flow generation with notable earnings contraction and high leverage, creating a mixed fundamental backdrop. Technically, the stock is trading near short-term moving averages with constructive momentum signals and price above VWAP and the Ichimoku cloud, yet multi-month returns show recent drawdowns from earlier highs. Valuation multiples such as P/E and EV/EBITDA appear elevated relative to current growth trends, while short interest remains modest and not indicative of heavy bearish positioning.
AI summarized at 11:55 AM ET, 2026-02-13
AI summary scores
INTRADAY:63SWING:52LONG:44
Volume vs average
Intraday (cumulative)
+6% (Above avg)
Vol/Avg: 1.06×
RSI
61.85(Strong)
Strong (60–70)
0255075100
MACD momentum
Intraday
+0.12 (Strong)
MACD: 0.38 Signal: 0.27
Short-Term
+1.84 (Strong)
MACD: 3.55 Signal: 1.71
Long-Term
+2.01 (Strong)
MACD: 1.39 Signal: -0.62
Intraday trend score
66.44
LOW40.44HIGH66.44
Latest news
VST•12 articles•Positive: 11Neutral: 1Negative: 0
NeutralThe Motley Fool• Adam Spatacco
Palantir Billionaire Peter Thiel Dumped Nvidia, Tesla, Microsoft, and Apple. What Stocks Does He Own for 2026?
Peter Thiel's hedge fund Thiel Macro liquidated its entire stock portfolio in Q4 2025, including positions in Nvidia, Tesla, Microsoft, and Apple. The move reflects concerns about AI competition, macroeconomic uncertainty, and geopolitical tensions. While Thiel rotated to cash, the article suggests long-term retail investors need not follow suit given the S&P 500's historical resilience.
NVDATSLAMSFTAAPLPeter Thielhedge fund liquidationAI stocksmarket uncertainty
Sentiment note
Position exited in Q3 after 42% gain; while benefiting from AI-driven nuclear energy narrative, Vistra is not a pure-play nuclear company and the AI-driven buying was considered overpronounced
PositiveInvesting.com• Jeffrey Neal Johnson
Radioactive Returns: Geopolitics and AI Fuel a Nuclear Supercycle
Rising geopolitical tensions and massive AI data center power demands are driving a nuclear energy supercycle. Russia's nuclear infrastructure exports are pushing Western nations toward energy independence, while AI's 24/7 baseload power requirements make nuclear the only scalable carbon-free solution. Vistra Corp. and Cameco Corporation are positioned as key beneficiaries, with Vistra's Meta PPA deal and Cameco's long-term uranium contracts demonstrating strong market momentum.
VSTCCJMETAnuclear energygeopoliticsartificial intelligencedata centersbaseload power
Sentiment note
Company owns the second-largest competitive nuclear fleet in the US with existing licensed and operational assets. Landmark 20-year PPA with Meta for 2,600+ MW demonstrates strong demand. Expected Q4 2025 EPS of ~$2.51 (120% YoY growth), aggressive share buybacks (30% since Nov 2021), and recent dividend declaration signal strong financial health and shareholder returns.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• James Hires
Should You Buy Vistra Stock While It's Below $200 -- Or Wait for a Better Yield?
Vistra Corp, a leading energy producer benefiting from AI data center demand, has dipped below $200 after a 652% three-year surge. While its dividend yield is currently low at 0.54%, the company is growing its dividend at a 10.7% CAGR with a 32.2% payout ratio, offering potential for long-term income investors despite the modest current yield.
VSTVistra Corpenergy stocksdividend growthAI data centerspower generationnuclear energyrenewable energy
Sentiment note
Strong fundamentals with 13.9% EBITDA growth, solid margins (29.9% EBITDA, 6.99% net profit), strategic acquisitions targeting AI data center demand, and consistent dividend growth at 10.7% CAGR with room for expansion. Recent price dip presents a buying opportunity for income-focused investors despite low current yield.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Courtney Carlsen
Time to Buy the Dip on Vistra Stock?
Vistra Energy, an independent power producer, has declined 22% from its September peak following regulatory proposals to cap electricity prices in the PJM region. Despite near-term headwinds, the company is well-positioned to benefit from growing energy demand from AI data centers, with a diversified asset portfolio, contracted revenue, and a 20-year power purchase agreement with Meta. Analysts project strong earnings growth, valuing the stock at 19.4x forward 2026 earnings.
VSTMETACEGindependent power producerdata center energy demandPJM price cappower generation assetselectricity costs
Sentiment note
Despite recent 22% decline due to regulatory concerns, the article presents a bullish case citing strong long-term fundamentals: diversified 44,000 MW capacity, contracted revenue, Meta PPA, and projected EPS growth to $8.82 by 2026. The regulatory headwinds are characterized as temporary, affecting only future auction years while existing contracts are protected.
PositiveBenzinga• Prnewswire
Vistra Declares Dividend on Common Stock and Series A Preferred Stock
Vistra announced that its board of directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.2280 per share of common stock, with an estimated aggregate payment of approximately $75 million payable on March 31, 2026. The company also declared a semi-annual dividend of $40.00 per Series A preferred share, payable on April 15, 2026.
VSTdividendcommon stockpreferred stockquarterly dividendpower generationenergy company
Sentiment note
The company is maintaining and declaring dividends to shareholders, demonstrating financial stability and confidence in cash flow generation. Regular dividend payments are typically viewed positively by investors as they indicate profitability and shareholder-friendly capital allocation.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Rick Orford
Is It Too Late to Buy Vistra After Its 250% Run?
Vistra Energy Corp is being revalued as an AI-driven power provider rather than just a traditional utility. The stock has surged 250% and the article examines whether there is still upside potential if the company executes on its contracts and growth plans, while also discussing associated risks.
VSTVistra EnergyAI-driven power providerdata center demandutility stocksstock valuationenergy sector
Sentiment note
The article presents Vistra as undergoing a significant revaluation driven by AI-related power demand for data centers. The author suggests 'the upside could be significant if execution stays on track' and indicates 'the next move could surprise investors on both sides,' implying potential for further gains despite the already substantial 250% run-up.
PositiveInvesting.com• Jaachi Mbachu, Aciarb
Big Tech Will Spend $600B on AI in 2026: 5 Stocks Cashing the Checks
Big Tech companies (Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, Oracle) announced combined capital expenditures exceeding $600 billion for 2026, a 36% increase from 2025. While Amazon's $200 billion capex guidance caused its stock to drop 9%, the real beneficiaries are infrastructure suppliers providing chips, networking equipment, and power solutions. Companies like Nvidia, Broadcom, TSMC, Vistra, and GE Vernova are positioned to capitalize on this unprecedented spending wave, though concerns exist about monetization and debt levels.
Goldman Sachs' top pick in AI power trade with $205 price target. Meta's massive power purchase agreement for Comanche Peak nuclear facility prompted Goldman to raise 2027 EBITDA estimate by 5%.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Beth Mckenna
Here Are Congresswoman Nancy Pelosi's Initial Stock Moves in 2026: They Include Nvidia, Alphabet, and Amazon Stocks, and Others
Nancy Pelosi and her husband Paul filed their first 2026 financial disclosures, revealing bullish stock moves in major tech companies including Nvidia, Alphabet, and Amazon through exercised call options. Their portfolio of five stocks achieved approximately 41.7% returns over one year, double the S&P 500 performance, demonstrating their successful long-term investing track record focused on AI and technology sectors.
Pelosi exercised 50 call options to purchase 5,000 shares at $50 strike price. Positioned as indirect AI play due to data center electricity consumption and Meta power purchase agreement.
PositiveInvesting.com• Jeffrey Neal Johnson
Frozen Assets: Winter Storm Fern Is Heating Up These 3 Energy Winners
Winter Storm Fern has created extreme demand for energy across 34 U.S. states, causing natural gas futures to surge 5.49% and electricity prices to spike. The article identifies three energy companies positioned to benefit from this crisis: Energy Transfer LP (which operates 30% of U.S. natural gas pipelines), Vistra Corp (a hybrid utility with natural gas and nuclear capacity), and Constellation Energy (a nuclear-focused utility benefiting from AI data center demand for reliable power).
Recent PJM capacity auction victory with record-high clearing prices (~$333/MW-day) guarantees billions in future revenue, recent S&P upgrade to Investment Grade (BBB-), $1 billion share buyback program, and hybrid fleet of natural gas and nuclear plants provides operational flexibility during extreme weather.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• James Brumley
3 Growth Stocks to Invest $1,000 in Right Now
The article recommends three growth stocks for investors seeking alternatives to crowded mega-cap trades: SoundHound AI, a voice AI platform company with high volatility but long-term growth potential in the AI agent market; Viking Therapeutics, a late-entrant in weight-loss drugs with a potentially superior dual-mechanism drug candidate; and Vistra, a utility and energy wholesaler positioned to benefit from nuclear power demand and AI data center expansion in key regions.
SOUNSOUNWVKTXVSTgrowth stocksAI voice technologyweight-loss drugsnuclear power
Sentiment note
Well-positioned for growth through nuclear power expansion (20% of output) and geographic presence in regions with booming AI data centers. Recent Meta partnership demonstrates demand for its nuclear power capacity, and worldwide nuclear output is expected to double by 2050.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Leo Sun
Where Will Vistra (VST) Stock Be in 1 Year?
Vistra, a major U.S. power generator, has surged 655% over three years driven by soaring electricity demand from AI and cloud infrastructure. The company is expanding its nuclear, solar, and natural gas capacity through acquisitions and recently signed a major 20-year power deal with Meta. Analysts project 13% revenue and EBITDA growth through 2027, with the stock valued at 11x forward EBITDA, suggesting potential 13% upside over the next year.
VSTMETApower generationnuclear energyAI demanddata centersacquisitionsrenewable energy
Sentiment note
Strong historical performance (655% gain over 3 years), expanding capacity through strategic acquisitions, major long-term deal with Meta, projected 13% CAGR growth through 2027, reasonable valuation at 11x forward EBITDA, and positioned to benefit from secular growth in AI/cloud infrastructure demand and government clean energy incentives.
PositiveBenzinga• Piero Cingari
Gold, Silver Spike To Record Highs As Fed Independence Falters: What's Moving Markets Monday?
Gold and silver surged to record highs Monday as investors reassessed Federal Reserve independence concerns following a DOJ criminal probe into Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The move sparked a rotation from Treasuries into precious metals. Financial stocks underperformed after Trump proposed capping credit card rates at 10%, while energy and tech stocks gained. Major indices showed modest gains ahead of inflation data and earnings season.
Gained over 6% on optimism surrounding multi-year power contract with Meta Platforms
News and sentiment labels describe article tone and are provided for research purposes only. They are not trading recommendations or forecasts.
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