United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Scores & Status Key
AI Summary Scores: Intraday / Swing / Long scores are synthesized from multi-factor analysis for each timeframe. They summarize current conditions discussed in the report and do not constitute trading recommendations.
Intraday Trend Score: A 0–100 composite from the Trend Explorer™ analytics engine used for ranking and comparison. It describes current conditions and is not a forecast.
Trend Status: A rules-based label (Bullish / Mixed / Bearish) derived from signal confluence (trend structure, momentum, and positioning). It indicates alignment, not expected return.
Last
$117.17
+$4.23 (+3.75%) 4:00 PM ET
After hours$116.79
−$0.38 (−0.32%) 5:21 AM ET
Prev closePrevC$112.94
OpenOpen$113.28
Day highHigh$117.31
Day lowLow$113.25
VolumeVol4,190,378
Avg volAvgVol4,888,399
On chart
Interval
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Scale: Linear
Overlays
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Style
Scale: Linear
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Tickers only (no ^ indexes). Add up to 5.
Mkt cap
$96.00B
P/E ratio
18.96
FY Revenue
$88.32B
EPS
6.18
Gross Margin
86.75%
Sector
Industrials
AI report sections
MIXED
UPS
United Parcel Service, Inc.
UPS is trading near the upper end of its 52-week range with strong recent price momentum and multiple bullish technical signals, but momentum indicators are entering overbought territory. Fundamentally, the company combines solid profitability, elevated return on equity, and positive operating cash flow growth with modest revenue and earnings contraction. Valuation appears moderate on earnings and cash flow metrics while the dividend yield is high, set against meaningful leverage and only mid-single-digit free cash flow margin.
AI summarized at 7:31 PM ET, 2026-02-04
AI summary scores
INTRADAY:68SWING:74LONG:63
Volume vs average
Intraday (cumulative)
+38% (Above avg)
Vol/Avg: 1.38×
RSI
60.80(Strong)
Strong (60–70)
0255075100
MACD momentum
Intraday
-0.01 (Weak)
MACD: 0.07 Signal: 0.08
Short-Term
+0.32 (Strong)
MACD: 1.84 Signal: 1.51
Long-Term
+0.45 (Strong)
MACD: 2.25 Signal: 1.80
Intraday trend score
89.70
LOW63.20HIGH96.70
Latest news
UPS•12 articles•Positive: 8Neutral: 1Negative: 3
NegativeThe Motley Fool• Robert Izquierdo
United Parcel Service vs. FedEx: What Their Revenue Trends Tell Investors
FedEx demonstrates stronger revenue momentum with consistent year-over-year growth and steady quarterly expansion, while UPS experiences volatile quarterly performance due to its strategic decision to shed low-margin Amazon business and prioritize profit margins over revenue growth. FedEx's recent freight spinoff and expected 11% fiscal year growth contrast with UPS's intentional volume reduction driven by higher unionized labor costs.
UPS shows declining and volatile quarterly revenues with intentional business shedding (Amazon partnership reduction), lower net income margins (4%), and prioritizes margin protection over growth due to higher unionized labor costs, resulting in a less favorable growth trajectory compared to competitors.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Reuben Gregg Brewer
Why Ultra-High-Yield UPS Is Investing $48 Million to Control the Temperature
UPS is investing $48 million in 27 temperature-controlled facilities to serve the healthcare sector, particularly for GLP-1 weight-loss drugs and temperature-sensitive medications. This strategic shift is part of the company's broader turnaround effort to move away from low-margin customers toward high-margin healthcare customers. Management expects the second half of 2026 to be an inflection point, with revenue per package rising despite lower overall revenue.
UPS is making strategic investments in high-margin healthcare logistics, demonstrating a clear pivot toward profitable growth. The company shows early signs of success with rising revenue per package, and management expects a turnaround inflection point in H2 2026. The $48 million investment signals confidence in the healthcare sector's growth potential and the company's ability to shift from volume-based to margin-based business.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Reuben Gregg Brewer
In 10 Years, Will You Wish You'd Bought This Industrial Stock Right Now?
United Parcel Service (UPS) is undergoing a major corporate overhaul to become leaner and more profitable, including reducing low-margin customers like Amazon. Despite near-term earnings challenges from infrastructure investments and business restructuring, the company shows progress with rising revenue per package. With the stock down over 50% from 2022 peaks and an expected inflection point in H2 2026, UPS presents a potential turnaround opportunity for long-term investors.
UPSAMZNpackage deliverycorporate overhaulturnaround storye-commerce growthrevenue per pieceinfrastructure investment
Sentiment note
The article presents UPS as a compelling turnaround opportunity. Despite current operational challenges (falling revenues, rising costs), the company is making strategic progress with higher revenue per package and is expected to reach an inflection point in H2 2026. The stock's 50%+ decline from 2022 peaks is viewed as an attractive entry point for long-term investors, with strong industry fundamentals and e-commerce tailwinds supporting future growth.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Reuben Gregg Brewer
3 Stocks to Load Up On Right Now
While the S&P 500 trades near all-time highs, three undervalued dividend stocks offer attractive opportunities: United Parcel Service is at an inflection point in its turnaround with a 6% yield, Clorox is repositioning its portfolio with the Gojo acquisition despite CEO departure, and Realty Income provides stable income with a 5.2% yield and diversified property portfolio.
Management confirmed 2026 as inflection point with expected business improvement in H2, attractive 6% dividend yield, and potential for stock appreciation as turnaround progresses despite current investor pessimism.
NeutralThe Motley Fool• Brendan Coffey
C.H. Robinson Worldwide vs. GXO: Which Logistics Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?
The article compares two logistics companies with different business models. C.H. Robinson Worldwide operates as an asset-light freight broker with strong profitability ($587M net income), robust free cash flow ($894.9M), and a healthy balance sheet (0.9x debt-to-equity). GXO Logistics focuses on tech-driven contract logistics with faster revenue growth (12.5% YoY) but struggles with profitability ($32M net income, 0.2% margin) and higher leverage (2.6x debt-to-equity). The author favors C.H. Robinson for its financial stability, operational flexibility, and exposure to improving LTL market pricing.
CHRWGXOFDXUPSlogisticsfreight brokeragecontract logisticsasset-light model
Sentiment note
Mentioned as a competitive threat to C.H. Robinson in the logistics space, but no specific analysis provided.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Reuben Gregg Brewer
I'm Calling It: UPS Is a Buy Before July 15
United Parcel Service (UPS) stock has recovered 30% from October 2025 lows and is positioned for a turnaround. The analyst recommends buying before July 15 earnings report, as the company expects weak first-half 2026 results but projects stronger second-half performance. Management has indicated the inflection point will occur at the end of Q2, with revenue per piece already showing steady increases as a sign of early turnaround success.
The article presents a bullish case for UPS, highlighting the company's turnaround progress with rising revenue per piece metrics, management's reaffirmed guidance, and the anticipated inflection point in H2 2026. The stock's 30% recovery from lows and expected earnings catalyst before July 15 support a positive outlook for aggressive investors willing to bet on the turnaround completion.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Selena Maranjian
3 Dividend Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist in June
The article recommends three dividend-paying investments for June: Pfizer (6.7% yield) despite patent expiration challenges but with a strong drug pipeline, United Parcel Service (7.7% yield) which is shifting away from low-margin Amazon deliveries toward higher-margin customers, and the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (3.25% yield) offering diversified dividend exposure across ~100 companies.
Though down 8.6% annually over three years, the company is strategically shifting to higher-margin customers (SMBs and healthcare), showing strong revenue per package growth (6.5% domestic, 12.1% international), and offers a compelling 7.7% dividend yield with reasonable valuation.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Reuben Gregg Brewer
2 Industrial Stocks You'll Wish You Bought in 2026 a Decade From Now
United Parcel Service and Stanley Black & Decker are undervalued industrial stocks currently undergoing business turnarounds with early signs of success. Despite weak near-term financial results and investor indifference, both companies offer attractive dividend yields (6.4% and 4.2% respectively) and strong long-term fundamentals, making them potentially rewarding for patient, long-term investors.
Company is executing a successful turnaround with revenue per piece increasing for consecutive quarters despite overall revenue declines, indicating improved profitability. High dividend yield of 6.4% and strong long-term business fundamentals support positive outlook for patient investors.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Thomas Niel
UPS Could Thrive in a Post-Amazon World
UPS is executing a strategic pivot to reduce Amazon deliveries by 50% and shift toward higher-margin customers, including small and medium-sized businesses and healthcare products. Despite near-term headwinds from trade tensions and macro weakness, the company is showing incremental improvements with rising SMB volumes and record healthcare revenue. With a forward P/E of 14x and 6.6% dividend yield, UPS presents a buying opportunity as its turnaround gains momentum.
UPS is successfully executing its strategic pivot away from low-margin Amazon deliveries toward higher-margin customers. Q1 2026 showed positive metrics including 1.6% SMB volume growth, 6.5% revenue per package increase, and record $3B healthcare revenue. The stock trades at attractive 14x forward earnings with a 6.6% dividend yield, and analysts expect 12.2% EPS growth in 2027.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Reuben Gregg Brewer
3 Stocks With Monster Potential to Hold Through the Next Decade of Uncertainty
The article recommends three dividend-paying stocks for long-term investors: United Parcel Service (UPS), Hormel Foods (HRL), and Medtronic (MDT). Despite being deeply unloved and trading significantly below their 2022 highs, all three companies are undergoing business transformations with early signs of success. Each offers attractive dividend yields (6.5%, 5.6%, and 3.6% respectively) and operates in essential industries, making them suitable for holding through market uncertainty.
Stock is 50% below 2022 highs with improving fundamentals. Revenue per piece is growing despite lower overall revenues, indicating successful business pivot away from low-margin customers. Management expects inflection point in H2 2026. High 6.5% dividend yield with management commitment to maintain it.
NegativeThe Motley Fool• Lee Samaha
Here's Why UPS Stock Is Rising and Falling in 2026
UPS stock remains flat in 2026 despite April gains, facing headwinds from its voluntary 50% reduction in Amazon deliveries through mid-2026. While the company expects margin recovery in the second half, near-term profitability is pressured by network adjustment costs and broader package volume declines. Amazon's new logistics service (ASCS) poses an additional competitive threat to UPS's business.
UPS faces near-term margin pressure from reducing Amazon volume (11.8% of revenue), transitional costs (~$150M in Q1), broader package volume declines beyond Amazon, and rising fuel/transportation costs. While management expects second-half recovery, significant headwinds and competitive threats from Amazon's logistics expansion create uncertainty.
NegativeThe Motley Fool• Brett Schafer
Amazon Just Announced Fantastic News for Investors: Should You Buy?
Amazon launched Amazon Supply Chain Services, allowing third-party retailers to use its delivery and logistics network. The expansion of this existing infrastructure is expected to drive revenue growth and margin expansion. With higher-margin segments like advertising (22% YoY growth) and AWS (28% YoY growth, 35% operating margin) growing faster than the core business, Amazon's operating margin could expand from 12% to ~20% over the next few years. At a market cap of $2.9 trillion and trading at 16x forward earnings, the stock is fairly valued for a megacap with strong growth prospects.
Amazon's new Supply Chain Services directly competes with UPS's $89 billion logistics business. Amazon could become a significant threat to UPS if it successfully delivers items for external retailers as quickly as for its own platform, potentially capturing market share in the logistics sector.
News and sentiment labels describe article tone and are provided for research purposes only. They are not trading recommendations or forecasts.
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