United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Scores & Status Key
AI Summary Scores: Intraday / Swing / Long scores are synthesized from multi-factor analysis for each timeframe. They summarize current conditions discussed in the report and do not constitute trading recommendations.
Intraday Trend Score: A 0–100 composite from the Trend Explorer™ analytics engine used for ranking and comparison. It describes current conditions and is not a forecast.
Trend Status: A rules-based label (Bullish / Mixed / Bearish) derived from signal confluence (trend structure, momentum, and positioning). It indicates alignment, not expected return.
Last
$106.64
+$3.07 (+2.96%) 3:53 PM ET
Prev closePrevC$103.57
OpenOpen$106.18
Day highHigh$107.59
Day lowLow$105.63
VolumeVol4,017,185
Avg volAvgVol6,733,859
On chart
Interval
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Scale: Linear
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Style
Scale: Linear
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Tickers only (no ^ indexes). Add up to 5.
Mkt cap
$89.27B
P/E ratio
16.26
FY Revenue
$88.66B
EPS
6.56
Gross Margin
86.86%
Sector
Industrials
AI report sections
MIXED
UPS
United Parcel Service, Inc.
UPS is trading near the upper end of its 52-week range with strong recent price momentum and multiple bullish technical signals, but momentum indicators are entering overbought territory. Fundamentally, the company combines solid profitability, elevated return on equity, and positive operating cash flow growth with modest revenue and earnings contraction. Valuation appears moderate on earnings and cash flow metrics while the dividend yield is high, set against meaningful leverage and only mid-single-digit free cash flow margin.
AI summarized at 7:31 PM ET, 2026-02-04
AI summary scores
INTRADAY:68SWING:74LONG:63
Volume vs average
Intraday (cumulative)
+21% (Above avg)
Vol/Avg: 1.21×
RSI
58.59(Neutral)
Neutral (40–60)
0255075100
MACD momentum
Intraday
-0.03 (Weak)
MACD: -0.03 Signal: 0.00
Short-Term
+1.21 (Strong)
MACD: -0.38 Signal: -1.59
Long-Term
+0.86 (Strong)
MACD: -2.56 Signal: -3.42
Intraday trend score
78.70
LOW74.50HIGH89.70
Latest news
UPS•12 articles•Positive: 6Neutral: 1Negative: 5
NeutralBenzinga• Lekha Gupta
Madison Air Stock Gains Premarket After Strong NYSE Debut
Madison Air Solutions (NYSE:MAIR) shares jumped 1.23% to $32.14 in premarket trading following its strong NYSE debut on Thursday. The company raised over $2.2 billion in its IPO at $27 per share, marking the largest U.S. industrial listing since UPS's 1999 offering and the biggest in the data-center boom wave. The company reported 2025 revenue of $3.5 billion with a 26.6% adjusted EBITDA margin.
Mentioned only as a historical comparison point for IPO size (1999 offering of $5.5 billion), with no current news or developments affecting the company.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Reuben Gregg Brewer
3M vs. United Parcel Service: One of These Industrial Stocks Is a Much Better Buy Right Now
3M and UPS are both iconic industrial companies facing headwinds, but they present different investment cases. 3M has spun off its healthcare business and faces material legal liabilities from PFAS and military earplugs lawsuits, with valuations above five-year averages despite these risks. UPS is executing a turnaround strategy with upfront costs but showing signs of improvement, trading below five-year valuation averages with a much higher dividend yield. For most investors, particularly dividend seekers, UPS appears the better buy.
UPS is showing signs of turnaround success with rising revenue per piece in the U.S. market, trades below five-year valuation averages making it attractive, and offers a compelling 6.3% dividend yield. The company expects 2026 to be an inflection point with more predictable risks than 3M.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• David Jagielski, Cpa
Investing $8,000 In Each of These 3 Stocks in 2026 Could Generate $1,500 in Annual Dividends
The article recommends three high-yielding dividend stocks—Verizon Communications (6.2% yield), United Parcel Service (6.4% yield), and Pfizer (6.3% yield)—as safer investments despite recent struggles. Investing $8,000 in each stock could generate approximately $1,500 in annual dividend income. While these companies face headwinds, their strong financials, dominant market positions, and consistent profitability make them suitable for dividend-focused investors.
Despite 40% decline over five years and economic headwinds, the company is improving margins through cost-cutting and Amazon business reduction. Strong profitability ($5.6B profit), dominant industry position, and 6.4% yield make it attractive despite near-term challenges.
NegativeThe Motley Fool• James Halley
Don't Panic Over UPS: These 2 Mega-Cap Stocks Are the Real Opportunity
While UPS stock has disappointed due to labor costs, declining revenue, and an unsustainable dividend, mega-cap stocks Applied Materials and Caterpillar are recommended as better investment opportunities. Applied Materials benefits from AI chip manufacturing demand with strong margin improvements, while Caterpillar dominates the data center backup generator market with record revenue and a massive backlog.
UPSAMATCATsemiconductor equipmentAI computingdata center infrastructurelabor costsrevenue growth
Sentiment note
Declining revenue (-2.6%), falling EPS (-2.8%), unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 113%, high labor costs from union contracts, and loss of Amazon business are creating headwinds for future profitability.
NegativeThe Motley Fool• Lee Samaha
2 Red Flags Waving Over UPS Cash Flow
UPS's 2025 free cash flow of $5.5 billion was artificially boosted by $700 million in property sales and $253 million in fuel surcharge benefits that may not repeat. With dividend coverage at 91.5% of earnings and no planned increases, combined with uncertain 2026 guidance and geopolitical risks, investors should exercise caution before buying the stock.
The article identifies two significant red flags: (1) $900 million of the $5.5 billion FCF came from non-recurring sources (property sales and fuel surcharge benefits) that cannot be relied upon long-term, and (2) dividend coverage is extremely tight at 91.5% of earnings with no increase expected soon. Additionally, 2026 FCF guidance of $6.5 billion is uncertain and excludes negative impacts from voluntary driver separation programs. Geopolitical risks to international business add further concern.
Biopharmaceutical Third Party Logistics (Distribution Management, Packaging & Labeling, Transportation, Warehousing) Market Research and Global Forecast Report 2026-2032
The biopharmaceutical third-party logistics market is expected to grow from $140.03 billion in 2025 to $384.23 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 15.51%. Growth is driven by rising product complexity, regulatory scrutiny, cold chain integrity demands, and technological advancements in digital tracking and specialized handling for biologics and gene therapies.
UPS is positioned to gain from increased demand for specialized biopharmaceutical logistics services, including cold chain transportation and advanced tracking capabilities.
NegativeThe Motley Fool• Parkev Tatevosian, Cfa
Should Investors Buy UPS Stock Today?
United Parcel Service faces macroeconomic headwinds as rising tariffs increase consumer prices, reducing demand for physical goods. The capital-intensive business is experiencing pressure, with UPS shares declining 15% in March amid broader economic challenges.
The article highlights increasing macroeconomic headwinds, falling demand for physical goods due to tariff-driven price increases, and recent 15% share decline in March. The capital-intensive nature of the business makes it vulnerable to economic slowdowns.
NegativeThe Motley Fool• Reuben Gregg Brewer
Fertilizer Prices Are Surging, and Food Costs Could Be Next. Why the Iran Energy Shock Runs Much Deeper Than Your Gas Bill
Middle East geopolitical tensions are driving up oil and natural gas prices, which impacts not just gasoline but also fertilizer production and food costs. Transportation companies are already implementing fuel surcharges, while food manufacturers face rising input costs from expensive fertilizers. Companies like Conagra and General Mills are passing these costs to consumers through price increases, with potential for further food inflation if fertilizer supply constraints reduce crop yields.
Higher fuel costs are forcing the company to implement increased fuel surcharges, which pressures margins and may impact competitiveness.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Reuben Gregg Brewer
2 Magnificent S&P 500 Dividend Stocks Down as Much as 55% to Buy and Hold Forever
United Parcel Service and Hormel Foods, both down over 55% since early 2022, are showing signs of turnaround. UPS achieved $3.5 billion in savings through automation and network restructuring, with revenue per package growing 7.1%. Hormel reported five consecutive quarters of organic sales growth and expects adjusted earnings to rise 4-10% in fiscal 2026. Both stocks offer attractive dividend yields (UPS 6.9%, Hormel 5%) and could be buying opportunities before their recoveries gain wider attention.
Company executed significant cost-cutting measures ($3.5B savings), improved revenue per package (7.1% growth), reduced low-margin Amazon exposure, and management expects 2026 to be an inflection point. Attractive 6.9% dividend yield appears sustainable.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Keith Speights
3 Monster Dividend Stocks to Hold for the Next 10 Years
The article recommends three dividend stocks for long-term investors seeking stable income and growth: Enterprise Products Partners (EPD), a midstream energy company with 27 years of consecutive distribution increases and a 5.6% yield; Evergy (EVRG), a utility stock benefiting from AI data center expansion in Kansas and Missouri with an 8%+ annual EPS growth forecast and 3.4% dividend yield; and United Parcel Service (UPS), a logistics leader with a 6.8% dividend yield positioned for profitability improvements as it restructures its business and reduces Amazon dependence.
Global logistics leader positioned for turnaround with 2026 as inflection point for restructuring strategy, expected profitability improvements from higher-margin shipments like healthcare logistics, strong 6.8% dividend yield with sufficient free cash flow to support it, and bright long-term prospects despite recent stock volatility.
Markets rallied sharply on Monday following President Trump's announcement of a five-day halt to U.S. military strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure and claims of productive peace talks, despite Iran's swift denial of any negotiations. The S&P 500 gained 1.64%, with stocks hardest hit by the Middle East conflict—particularly cruise operators, airlines, and homebuilders—experiencing the strongest rebounds. Gold miners and construction-related ETFs also performed well amid the relief rally.
CCLNCLHRCLBLDRTrumpIranpeace talksMiddle East conflict
Sentiment note
Logistics company rose 3.29% on Monday as part of the relief rally, recovering from a 17.33% month-to-date decline.
NegativeThe Motley Fool• Reuben Gregg Brewer
6 Surprising Stocks Affected by High Oil Prices
Rising oil prices due to Middle East geopolitical conflict are rippling through the economy beyond the energy sector. Travel companies like Carnival and JetBlue face higher fuel costs, shipping companies UPS and FedEx are implementing fuel surcharges, and consumer staples makers like Procter & Gamble and Conagra will see increased ingredient and packaging costs. Companies are expected to pass these rising costs to consumers through price increases and shrinkflation.
Extensive network of trucks and airplanes requires significant energy; already implemented fuel surcharges on March 2, passing costs to customers
News and sentiment labels describe article tone and are provided for research purposes only. They are not trading recommendations or forecasts.
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