United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Scores & Status Key
AI Summary Scores: Intraday / Swing / Long scores are synthesized from multi-factor analysis for each timeframe. They summarize current conditions discussed in the report and do not constitute trading recommendations.
Intraday Trend Score: A 0–100 composite from the Trend Explorer™ analytics engine used for ranking and comparison. It describes current conditions and is not a forecast.
Trend Status: A rules-based label (Bullish / Mixed / Bearish) derived from signal confluence (trend structure, momentum, and positioning). It indicates alignment, not expected return.
Last
$105.32
−$0.36 (−0.34%) 4:00 PM ET
Prev closePrevC$105.68
OpenOpen$106.13
Day highHigh$106.34
Day lowLow$104.90
VolumeVol1,863,876
Avg volAvgVol5,143,880
On chart
Interval
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Scale: Linear
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Style
Scale: Linear
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Tools
Tickers only (no ^ indexes). Add up to 5.
Mkt cap
$89.61B
EV/Sales
1.22
P/E ratio
19.61
FY Revenue
$89.93B
EPS
5.37
Gross Margin
86.24%
Div yield
6.04%
Sector
Industrials
AI report sections
MIXED
UPS
United Parcel Service, Inc.
UPS is trading near the upper end of its 52-week range with strong recent price momentum and multiple bullish technical signals, but momentum indicators are entering overbought territory. Fundamentally, the company combines solid profitability, elevated return on equity, and positive operating cash flow growth with modest revenue and earnings contraction. Valuation appears moderate on earnings and cash flow metrics while the dividend yield is high, set against meaningful leverage and only mid-single-digit free cash flow margin.
AI summarized at 7:31 PM ET, 2026-02-04
AI summary scores
INTRADAY:68SWING:74LONG:63
Volume vs average
Intraday (cumulative)
−47% (Below avg)
Vol/Avg: 0.53×
RSI
49.92(Neutral)
Neutral (40–60)
0255075100
MACD momentum
Intraday
+0.01 (Strong)
MACD: -0.02 Signal: -0.03
Short-Term
+0.41 (Strong)
MACD: -1.23 Signal: -1.64
Long-Term
+0.04 (Strong)
MACD: -1.88 Signal: -1.91
Intraday trend score
54.20
LOW53.20HIGH64.20
Latest news
UPS•12 articles•Positive: 7Neutral: 3Negative: 2
NeutralZacks Investment Research• Na
UPS (UPS) Up 1% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
UPS reported strong Q2 earnings with adjusted EPS of $1.76 (beating consensus by 6.7%) and revenues of $22.83 billion (5% above estimate). The company raised full-year guidance and generated $1.57 billion in free cash flow. However, analyst estimates have trended downward by 6.4% since the earnings report, and the stock received a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) rating with an F momentum score despite positive operational improvements.
While UPS delivered strong Q2 results with earnings and revenue beats, raised full-year guidance, and improved operational efficiency, the post-earnings period has seen analyst estimates decline by 6.4% and the stock underperform the S&P 500 by 1%. The Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) rating with poor momentum (F score) suggests limited upside potential despite operational improvements.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Daniel Sparks
UPS Stopped Carrying 2 Million Amazon Packages a Day. Amazon Still Has to Move Them.
UPS completed its 18-month reduction of Amazon volume, eliminating 2 million packages daily and $4.5 billion in expenses. Amazon absorbed most of this volume into its own delivery network, which now handles 6.7 billion U.S. parcels annually—making it the country's largest parcel carrier. However, Amazon's shipping costs surged 19% to $27.9 billion in Q2, outpacing its 15% online sales growth, reflecting the significant investment required to maintain its delivery infrastructure and fast shipping promises.
UPS successfully completed its strategic shift away from lower-margin Amazon volume. The company achieved 6% revenue growth with 9.3% increase in revenue per piece, expanded operating margins to 8% (up 1 percentage point), and raised full-year revenue outlook to $91.2 billion. The elimination of unprofitable volume improved overall profitability.
NegativeThe Motley Fool• Lee Samaha
UPS Fired Amazon. Was It The Smart Move?
UPS's decision to reduce Amazon delivery volume by 50% aligns with its 'better, not bigger' strategy to focus on higher-margin business segments. However, the stock has declined 10.5% since the announcement due to margin concerns. While management raised earnings guidance, operating margins actually decreased, and fuel surcharges appear to be the primary driver of revenue growth rather than operational improvements.
Stock down 10.5% since Amazon announcement. Despite raising earnings guidance, operating margins declined from 9.6% to 9.5%. Fuel surcharges account for most of the revenue increase, which is unsustainable. Market skepticism about margin expansion and earnings quality in 2026 despite the strategic rationale for the Amazon reduction.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Leo Sun
UPS Is Walking Away From Amazon. Is That a Smart Move?
UPS is reducing its Amazon-related shipping volume by over 50% through 2026, phasing out standard last-mile delivery services. While Amazon was UPS's largest customer, these shipments generated lower profits and clogged sorting facilities. UPS is pivoting toward higher-margin orders from small-to-medium businesses and healthcare customers. The company expects 3% revenue growth and 1% adjusted EPS growth in 2026, marking the first synchronized growth since 2022.
UPS is strategically improving profitability by eliminating low-margin Amazon business, focusing on higher-margin customers, and achieving synchronized revenue and EPS growth for the first time since 2022. The stock trades at an attractive 14x earnings with a 6.4% dividend yield and 16 consecutive years of dividend increases, positioning it as a solid income play.
NegativeThe Motley Fool• Todd Shriber
Is UPS a Good Stock for Passive Income Investors?
United Parcel Service (UPS) froze its dividend after a 16-year streak of increases, raising concerns for passive income investors. While the 6.3% yield is attractive, the company's payout ratio of 106% exceeds net income, and free cash flow is declining. Morningstar lists UPS among potential dividend offenders, suggesting income investors should look elsewhere despite the company's otherwise healthy balance sheet.
UPSdividend freezepassive incomepayout ratiofree cash flowdividend safetypackage shippingequity income
Sentiment note
UPS froze its dividend after 16 years of growth, has an unsustainable payout ratio of 106%, declining free cash flow trajectory, and is flagged by Morningstar as a potential dividend offender. These factors indicate elevated risk for dividend investors despite the high yield.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Sean Williams
Trump Tariff Refunds Just Topped $100 Billion, and These Companies Are Receiving Some of the Largest Checks
The Trump administration is issuing over $166 billion in tariff refunds after the U.S. Supreme Court invalidated tariffs imposed under the IEEPA in February 2026. Major companies like Apple ($2.19B), Walmart ($2.4B expected), and Amazon ($600M) are receiving substantial refunds that boost earnings. However, new tariffs imposed via Section 301 of the Trade Act may reignite inflationary pressures in coming quarters.
2 Magnificent Industrial Stocks Down 40% to Buy and Hold Forever
UPS and Fluor, both trading 40% below their all-time highs, present buying opportunities for long-term value investors. UPS is stabilizing its business after pandemic-related challenges and union negotiations, with expected revenue and EPS growth returning in 2026. Fluor is shifting to less risky reimbursable contracts and benefiting from cloud, AI, and nuclear market expansion, with profitability expected to return in 2026.
UPSFLRAMZNFDXindustrial stocksvalue investingshipping logisticsengineering and construction
Sentiment note
Stock is stabilizing after pandemic headwinds and margin pressures. Expected revenue and EPS growth in 2026 marks first growth since 2022. High dividend yield of 6.3% and attractive valuation at 14x forward earnings make it appealing for value-income investors.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Leo Sun
Is United Parcel Service (UPS) the Best Dividend Stock in the Industrial Sector?
UPS trades at 14x forward earnings with a 6.4% dividend yield, down 44% from its 2022 all-time high. After facing pandemic-related volume declines, margin compression, and labor challenges, the company has stabilized by focusing on higher-margin business customers and healthcare. UPS expects 3% revenue growth and 1% EPS growth in 2026, with stronger 4% revenue and 12% EPS growth projected for 2027, suggesting it could become an attractive dividend play in the industrial sector.
Stock is undervalued at 44% below all-time high with attractive 6.4% dividend yield. Company has successfully stabilized operations, shifted to higher-margin business, and projects revenue and EPS growth resuming in 2026-2027 with AI integration and automation driving future upside.
NeutralGlobeNewswire Inc.• Not Specified
WareMatch Partners With ShipPlug to Unlock Shipping Savings For 3PL Operators
WareMatch, a 3PL marketplace platform, has entered an exclusivity partnership with ShipPlug, a shipping intelligence company. Through the integration, WareMatch users gain free access to ShipPlug's automated refund recovery system for late FedEx and UPS deliveries. ShipPlug expands into the 3PL market at scale while WareMatch adds a value-add differentiator for its warehouse and shipper users.
UPS is mentioned alongside FedEx as a carrier subject to refund claims for late deliveries. The partnership automates refund recovery against UPS service guarantees, which is a standard business practice with no material impact indicated.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Parkev Tatevosian, Cfa
Is UPS Stock an Excellent Dividend Stock to Buy?
The article examines whether United Parcel Service (UPS) is a good dividend stock for investors. With a 5.6% yield, UPS is highlighted as a potential investment opportunity. The author notes that management is demonstrating operational prudence despite challenging circumstances, suggesting investors can be pleased with the company's current direction.
The article presents UPS favorably as a dividend investment opportunity with a 5.6% yield. The author commends management's operational prudence and suggests investors can be pleased with their performance, indicating confidence in the company's direction despite challenging market conditions.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Reuben Gregg Brewer
Why UPS Is Betting $48 Million on Temperature-Controlled Logistics Growth
UPS is investing $48 million in temperature-controlled logistics across 27 facilities worldwide as part of its turnaround strategy. The company is shifting focus from high-volume, low-margin packages (like Amazon shipments) to fewer, higher-margin packages, particularly in the pharmaceutical sector. UPS expects the temperature-controlled logistics market to grow at 8.3% annually through 2033, reaching nearly $40 billion, with an inflection point expected in the second half of 2026.
UPS is making strategic investments in high-margin business segments with strong growth prospects (8.3% CAGR). The company is successfully improving profit per package despite falling revenues, demonstrating effective turnaround execution. Management expects an inflection point in H2 2026, and the stock offers a 5.71% dividend yield.
Mariner Logistics, a Dallas-based asset-backed 4PL, appointed Justin Turner as CEO effective immediately. Turner brings nearly two decades of experience from companies including Coyote Logistics, GlobalTranz, STORD, and Flock Freight. The company is investing in technology platforms including the Sentinel Protocol for carrier and driver verification and Vibe Engine AI to address new liability concerns following the Supreme Court's Montgomery v. Caribe Transport ruling on broker liability.
Mentioned only as acquirer of Coyote Logistics in historical context of new CEO's experience; no direct business impact or strategic implications for UPS discussed.
News and sentiment labels describe article tone and are provided for research purposes only. They are not trading recommendations or forecasts.
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