AI Summary Scores: Intraday / Swing / Long scores are synthesized from multi-factor analysis for each timeframe. They summarize current conditions discussed in the report and do not constitute trading recommendations.
Intraday Trend Score: A 0–100 composite from the Trend Explorer™ analytics engine used for ranking and comparison. It describes current conditions and is not a forecast.
Trend Status: A rules-based label (Bullish / Mixed / Bearish) derived from signal confluence (trend structure, momentum, and positioning). It indicates alignment, not expected return.
Last
$195.46
−$1.36 (−0.69%) 10:15 AM ET
Prev closePrevC$196.82
OpenOpen$195.72
Day highHigh$199.06
Day lowLow$195.46
VolumeVol369,404
Avg volAvgVol2,903,894
On chart
Interval
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Scale: Linear
Overlays
Panels
Style
Scale: Linear
Presets
Tools
Tickers only (no ^ indexes). Add up to 5.
Mkt cap
$114.84B
P/E ratio
9.94
FY Revenue
$89.45B
EPS
19.67
Gross Margin
31.63%
Sector
Financials
AI report sections
MIXED
PGR
The Progressive Corporation
No AI report section text found yet for this symbol.
Volume vs average
Intraday (cumulative)
+13% (Above avg)
Vol/Avg: 1.13×
RSI
47.74(Neutral)
Neutral (40–60)
0255075100
MACD momentum
Intraday
-0.13 (Weak)
MACD: -0.72 Signal: -0.59
Short-Term
-0.50 (Weak)
MACD: -1.45 Signal: -0.95
Long-Term
-0.41 (Weak)
MACD: -2.06 Signal: -1.65
Intraday trend score
53.00
LOW53.00HIGH53.00
Latest news
PGR•12 articles•Positive: 4Neutral: 5Negative: 3
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Reuben Gregg Brewer
If the Fed Hikes Again, These 3 Financial Stocks Should Still Hold Up
Despite concerns about Federal Reserve rate hikes to combat inflation, three financial stocks are well-positioned to weather higher rates. JPMorgan Chase benefits from wider net interest margins on its large deposit base, American Express is insulated by its high-net-worth customer base and fee-based model, and Progressive gains from higher investment returns on its insurance float without taking additional risk.
Higher interest rates directly increase investment income on the company's insurance float. Progressive generated over $900 million in investment income in Q1 2026, and rate hikes enhance this without additional risk.
NegativeGlobeNewswire Inc.• Credfin, Inc.
CredFin, Inc. and The Agent Underground Join Forces to Pioneer the Insurance Industry Revolution
CredFin, Inc. announced a strategic alliance with The Agent Underground to provide independent insurance agents with business credit and funding infrastructure to acquire agencies and consolidate market share amid AI-driven disruption. Bank of America estimates $15 billion in agent commissions are at risk from AI disintermediation, while the global AI in insurance market is projected to grow from $4.59 billion in 2022 to $79.86 billion by 2032. The partnership aims to position forward-thinking agents as consolidators in an industry facing significant structural change.
PGRHIGHIGPGTRVartificial intelligence disruptioninsurance agency consolidationbusiness credit and fundingindependent insurance agents
Sentiment note
Identified as one of six major carriers at risk of losing $15 billion in agent commissions due to AI-driven disintermediation and direct-to-consumer channels.
NeutralThe Motley Fool• James Brumley
Progressive's Underwriting Machine Is Still Working. Is the Stock Worth Buying?
Progressive has demonstrated strong operational performance with 12% premium growth, record 12.6% underwriting margins, and market share expansion to 17.2%. However, the article cautions that the stock may not be a compelling buy for income-focused investors due to unsustainable dividend structure. The bulk of dividends are paid as lump-sum special payments based on prior-year profits rather than consistent quarterly payments, making future income uncertain as the insurance industry's cyclical nature and regulatory scrutiny may pressure profitability.
While Progressive shows strong operational metrics (12% premium growth, record 12.6% underwriting margins, market share gains to 17.2%), the article advises caution for most investors. The primary concern is the unsustainable dividend structure relying on special lump-sum payments rather than consistent quarterly income, combined with cyclical industry pressures and regulatory scrutiny that could compress future profitability. The stock is suitable only for capital appreciation seekers, not income investors.
NeutralThe Motley Fool• Thomas Niel
Lemonade Has Momentum, but Investors Need More Than Growth
Lemonade stock fell after Q1 2026 earnings despite strong fundamentals. The company reported 71% revenue growth, improved profitability metrics with net loss ratio dropping from 82% to 63%, and reduced net losses by 42.6%. The sell-off appears driven by profit-taking rather than weak performance. Management guides toward positive EBITDA by Q4 2026, and the company's use of AI for scaling positions it to compete with incumbents like Allstate and Progressive.
Mentioned as an incumbent competitor facing potential market share loss to Lemonade as the fintech insurer scales and attracts younger customers.
NeutralInvesting.com• Chris Markoch
3 Insurance Stocks That Can Act as a New Inflation Hedge
Insurance stocks are emerging as inflation hedges as companies reprice premiums faster than policy renewals can absorb rising costs from inflation, climate events, and reinsurance hikes. Travelers Companies and Chubb are well-positioned with strong earnings growth expectations, while Progressive offers value at a significant discount despite recent underperformance.
Currently underperforming (-25% over 12 months, -10% in 2026) due to market share losses as competitors reprice, but trading at significant discount (10x earnings vs 12x sector average, 64% below 3-year average), offering value with 20% upside potential if earnings growth exceeds 4.9% forecast.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Jennifer Saibil
This Insurance Stock Has Quietly Crushed the S&P 500 Over 10 Years
Progressive has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 over the past decade through strong underwriting practices and accurate risk pricing. The company achieved a combined ratio below 90% in 2025, well below its 96% target, and reported earnings per share growth from $14.40 to $19.23. With a P/E ratio of 10, Progressive appears fairly valued despite its strong performance, though it faces ongoing regulatory and AI integration challenges.
Progressive has demonstrated strong financial performance with combined ratio below 90%, significant earnings per share growth (from $14.40 to $19.23), 3.7 million new policies added in 2025, and consistent market outperformance over the past decade. The company maintains disciplined capital management and is successfully adapting to technological changes. The P/E ratio of 10 suggests reasonable valuation despite strong performance.
NegativeThe Motley Fool• Sarah Sidlow
Slide's Chief Risk Officer Just Dumped All of His Shares, Again. What Does It Mean for Insurance Investors?
Slide Insurance Holdings' Chief Risk Officer Matthew Larson exercised and immediately sold 11,250 stock options for approximately $202,000, reducing his direct equity holdings to zero. However, this follows a consistent pattern of exercise-and-sell transactions over six events and does not indicate loss of confidence in the company, as Larson retains 31,250 stock options. Slide has completed a $120 million share repurchase program with another $125 million approved.
SLDEPGRALLALLPBinsider tradingstock optionsexercise-and-sellproperty and casualty insurance
Sentiment note
Mentioned as a comparison point, Progressive is down more than 13% year-to-date, significantly underperforming Slide Insurance and the broader insurance sector.
NeutralThe Motley Fool• Bryan White
Progressive Had a Remarkable Run. Now Comes the Hard Part.
Progressive's earnings surged from $1 per share in 2022 to nearly $20 in 2025, driven by disciplined underwriting and significant market share gains during a favorable insurance cycle. However, as market conditions soften and competition increases, the company may struggle to maintain these exceptional earnings levels. While Progressive remains a high-quality insurer with a structural underwriting advantage, much of its recent growth was cycle-driven rather than company-specific, making future earnings sustainability uncertain.
Progressive is recognized as a high-quality insurer with durable competitive advantages in underwriting and data-driven pricing. However, the article expresses concern about earnings sustainability, noting that recent exceptional performance (EPS near $20) was significantly driven by favorable industry cycle conditions rather than company-specific execution. As the cycle turns and competition increases, the company may need to sacrifice market share to maintain margins, making future earnings less certain despite its structural advantages.
NegativeGlobeNewswire Inc.• Schall Law Firm
State Farm, Travelers, and Progressive Homeowners Insurance Customers Have Opportunity to Join Schall Law Firm Investigation into Insurers’ Decision to Change Insurance Deductibles and Terms Without Homeowners’ Knowledge
The Schall Law Firm is investigating State Farm, Travelers, and Progressive for allegedly increasing homeowners' insurance deductibles and changing payout calculations from replacement cost to depreciated cash value without adequate disclosure or consent. Affected policyholders are encouraged to join the investigation.
PGRTRVhomeowners insurancedeductible increasepolicy changesbreach of good faithweather-related claimscash value payout
Sentiment note
Company is under investigation for allegedly increasing homeowners' insurance deductibles and changing compensation methods without proper notification or consent from policyholders.
NeutralGlobeNewswire Inc.• Na
Progressive Prices $1.5 Billion of Senior Notes
The Progressive Corporation announced the successful pricing of $500 million in 4.60% Senior Notes due 2031 and $1 billion in 5.15% Senior Notes due 2036 in an underwritten public offering. Goldman Sachs and TD Securities served as joint bookrunners for the offering.
The company successfully completed a $1.5 billion debt offering at reasonable pricing (99.987% and 99.676% of par), indicating market confidence. However, this is a routine capital raising activity with no material operational or strategic implications disclosed. The pricing near par suggests normal market conditions without distress or exceptional demand.
PositiveBenzinga• Globe Newswire
Progressive Announces Quarterly Common Share Dividend
The Progressive Corporation's Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.10 per common share, payable on April 10, 2026, to shareholders of record as of April 2, 2026.
The announcement of a regular quarterly dividend demonstrates the company's financial stability and commitment to returning capital to shareholders. Dividend declarations are generally viewed positively as they indicate confidence in the company's cash flow and earnings outlook.
PositiveInvesting.com• Tafara Tsoka
Forgotten Large Caps Are Quietly Outperforming in 2026
While investor attention remains focused on AI mega-caps and high-growth tech stocks, several large-cap companies are quietly delivering strong performance in 2026. Caterpillar, Oracle, AbbVie, and Progressive are highlighted as steady, profitable performers with consistent earnings and strong balance sheets that offer superior risk-adjusted returns without the hype.
Showing steady margin improvement and solid relative performance compared to broader financial peers; demonstrating consistent operational execution.
News and sentiment labels describe article tone and are provided for research purposes only. They are not trading recommendations or forecasts.
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