Lemonade, Inc. · Financials · Insurance - Property & Casualty
Scores & Status Key
AI Summary Scores: Intraday / Swing / Long scores are synthesized from multi-factor analysis for each timeframe. They summarize current conditions discussed in the report and do not constitute trading recommendations.
Intraday Trend Score: A 0–100 composite from the Trend Explorer™ analytics engine used for ranking and comparison. It describes current conditions and is not a forecast.
Trend Status: A rules-based label (Bullish / Mixed / Bearish) derived from signal confluence (trend structure, momentum, and positioning). It indicates alignment, not expected return.
Last
$52.98
−$0.95 (−1.77%) 4:00 PM ET
After hours$53.10
+$0.13 (+0.24%) 9:16 PM ET
Prev closePrevC$53.93
OpenOpen$54.39
Day highHigh$55.25
Day lowLow$52.98
VolumeVol742,148
Avg volAvgVol1,356,627
On chart
Interval
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Scale: Linear
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Panels
Style
Scale: Linear
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Tickers only (no ^ indexes). Add up to 5.
Mkt cap
$4.10B
EV/Sales
4.85
P/E ratio
-29.59
FY Revenue
$806.60M
EPS
-1.79
Gross Margin
100.00%
Div yield
0.00%
Sector
Financials
AI report sections
MIXED
LMND
Lemonade, Inc.
Lemonade, Inc. exhibits very strong recent price momentum with the stock trading near the upper end of its 52-week range and above key moving averages. At the same time, core profitability, cash generation, and liquidity metrics remain weak, while valuation multiples are elevated relative to current earnings and cash flow. The backdrop is further complicated by high short interest and an elevated short volume ratio alongside predominantly positive news flow highlighting growth and AI-driven initiatives.
AI summarized at 10:34 AM ET, 2026-01-22
AI summary scores
INTRADAY:68SWING:74LONG:39
Volume vs average
Intraday (cumulative)
−5% (Below avg)
Vol/Avg: 0.95×
RSI
47.98(Neutral)
Neutral (40–60)
0255075100
MACD momentum
Intraday
-0.02 (Weak)
MACD: -0.10 Signal: -0.08
Short-Term
+0.68 (Strong)
MACD: -1.42 Signal: -2.10
Long-Term
+0.16 (Strong)
MACD: -2.24 Signal: -2.40
Intraday trend score
49.32
LOW41.32HIGH66.32
Latest news
LMND•12 articles•Positive: 9Neutral: 2Negative: 1
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Dave Kovaleski
Lemonade Cut Its Adjusted EBITDA Loss From $41 Million to $19 Million. Now It Has Promised Breakeven by Q4.
Lemonade, an AI-powered insurance claims processor, significantly improved its financial performance in Q2 2026 with a 79% revenue surge to $294 million and a 54% reduction in adjusted EBITDA losses to $19 million. The company projects its first-ever positive adjusted EBITDA of $8 million in Q4 2026, driven by 32.4% growth in in-force premiums and a best-ever 5% loss adjustment expense ratio. Management expects full-year profitability in 2027.
Lemonade demonstrated strong operational improvements with 79% revenue growth, 54% reduction in EBITDA losses, and a clear path to profitability by Q4 2026. The company's AI-driven efficiency (5% loss adjustment ratio vs. 9% industry average) and consistent customer growth (23% increase to 3.3 million customers) indicate successful execution of its business model and strong momentum toward sustainable profitability.
NeutralThe Motley Fool• Anders Bylund
Root's 2026 Outlook: AI-Driven Telematics Model Gains Scale Through Embedded Growth Partnerships
Root Insurance has achieved profitability and a Superscore of 74 out of 100, driven by its AI-powered telematics pricing model and embedded partnerships with platforms like Carvana. Despite strong operational metrics including a 92% net combined ratio and 36 billion miles of driving data, the stock faces headwinds from intense competition, customer friction, and valuation sensitivity. The company must balance profitability with market expansion to sustain growth and avoid being outpaced by competitors like Lemonade.
Lemonade is referenced as a competitor in the automated insurance space with aggressive growth potential. While positioned as a competitive threat to Root, the article does not provide detailed analysis of Lemonade's fundamentals or outlook.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Leo Sun
Lemonade's Full-Year In-Force Premium Outlook Misses Expectations. Is the Growth Story Slowing or Just Repricing?
Lemonade reported strong Q2 earnings with 79% revenue growth and raised full-year guidance, but its in-force premium outlook slightly missed Wall Street's expectations at $1.632-$1.639 billion versus estimates above $1.642 billion. Despite the miss, the company continues to demonstrate solid growth with 23% customer increase year-over-year and is expected to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA by Q4 2026. Analysts view the stock pullback as a buying opportunity rather than a sign of slowing growth.
Despite missing Wall Street's aggressive IFP estimates, Lemonade demonstrated strong fundamentals with 79% revenue growth, 23% customer growth, raised full-year guidance across multiple metrics, and a path to positive adjusted EBITDA. The analyst views the stock pullback as a buying opportunity, suggesting the company's growth story remains intact and valuations are simply normalizing after a multi-year rally.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Courtney Carlsen
Lemonade Is Keeping More of Its Own Insurance Risk. Is That a Sign of Confidence or a Red Flag?
Lemonade has reduced its reinsurance coverage from 20% to 18% of gross written premiums, retaining more insurance risk as its AI-driven underwriting models improve. The company's gross loss ratio improved significantly to 62% in Q1 2026 from 83% in Q1 2024, suggesting growing confidence in its underwriting capabilities. While the move exposes Lemonade to additional risk, it signals the company is maturing as an insurer and moving closer to profitability.
LMNDartificial intelligenceinsuranceunderwritingreinsurancegross loss ratiorisk managementprofitability
Sentiment note
The company demonstrates significant operational improvements with gross loss ratio declining from 83% to 62% year-over-year, indicating better underwriting performance. Management's decision to retain more risk while strengthening catastrophe protection signals confidence in AI models and suggests the company is progressing toward profitability as a maturing insurer.
NegativeThe Motley Fool• Eric Volkman
Why Lemonade Stock Wilted by Almost 9% on Wednesday
Lemonade stock dropped nearly 9% after Morgan Stanley analyst Bob Huang downgraded the stock from overweight to equalweight, citing a need for new catalysts to justify the 50% price increase over recent weeks. While acknowledging the company's strong momentum and recent reinsurance program announcement, Huang set a $75 price target and expressed concerns about the company's ability to navigate a softening auto insurance market.
Stock downgraded from buy to hold by Morgan Stanley analyst due to valuation concerns after 50% price increase. Analyst cites need for new catalysts and concerns about softening auto insurance market, though acknowledges company's positive momentum and operational effectiveness.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Jennifer Saibil
Lemonade Stock Tripled Over the Past 3 Years. Can It Do It Again Over the Next 3 Years?
Lemonade, a digital insurance company leveraging AI and machine learning, has surged 247% over the past three years after recovering from a 90% decline. With accelerating revenue growth (71% YoY), improving loss ratios (62%), and expanding customer base (3M+ customers), the company is guiding for positive adjusted EBITDA by end of 2026 and profitability in 2027. At a 6x price-to-sales ratio, analysts suggest the stock could potentially triple again over the next three years if it maintains 50% revenue CAGR, though this depends on sustained growth and margin expansion.
Strong operational improvements including accelerating revenue growth (71% YoY), improving loss ratios (62%, within target range), rapid customer acquisition (23% YoY to 3M+), gross margin expansion (26% to 39%), and management guidance for profitability milestones in 2026-2027. The company's AI-driven competitive advantages and agility position it well for future growth, though it remains unprofitable currently.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Neil Patel
Lemonade Is Betting Everything on AI Insurance. Should Investors Follow?
Lemonade is leveraging AI and machine learning to disrupt the insurance industry with a digital-first model, achieving 23% customer growth and 32% premium growth in Q1 2026. However, the company remains unprofitable with a $165.5M net loss in 2025, and analysts don't expect positive GAAP earnings until 2028. The stock has surged 194% over three years but presents a high-risk/high-reward opportunity suitable only for risk-tolerant investors.
LMNDAI insurancedigital transformationfintech disruptioncustomer growthprofitability timelineloss ratio improvementhigh-risk investment
Sentiment note
Strong growth metrics (23% customer growth, 32% premium surge, 71% revenue increase), improving loss ratios (63% vs 82% year-ago), and AI-driven operational efficiency demonstrate solid business momentum. However, sentiment is tempered by continued unprofitability and the need to wait until 2028 for positive GAAP earnings, making it a positive but speculative opportunity.
PositiveGlobeNewswire Inc.• Not Specified
Lemonade Launches Renters Insurance in Montana
Lemonade announced the expansion of its renters insurance product to Montana, offering policies starting at $5 per month with rates approximately 30% lower than the national average. The company continues to expand its geographic footprint while maintaining its focus on simplified, app-based insurance experiences.
The company is expanding its market reach to new states (Montana, North Dakota, Louisiana), offering competitive pricing 30% below national average, maintaining strong customer base of 3M+ customers, and demonstrating operational efficiency with nearly 40% of claims handled instantly. Geographic expansion and competitive positioning indicate business growth and market confidence.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Anthony Di Pizio
2 Glorious Growth Stocks to Buy During the Latest Tech Sell-Off
During a tech market downturn with the Nasdaq Composite down 7.5% from its peak, Meta Platforms and Lemonade are presented as attractive investment opportunities. Meta is leveraging AI to boost user engagement and advertising revenue, trading at a P/E ratio of 21.3 compared to the Nasdaq-100's 35.3. Lemonade is using AI to transform insurance operations, achieving record growth with 3.1 million policyholders and accelerating in-force premium growth for 10 consecutive quarters.
Record 3.1 million policyholders with 23% YoY growth, 10 consecutive quarters of accelerating in-force premium growth (32% increase), and AI-driven operational efficiency enabling 6% workforce reduction while doubling IFP. Forward P/S ratio of 2.5 suggests significant upside potential.
PositiveGlobeNewswire Inc.• Na
Lemonade Expands Renters Insurance to North Dakota
Lemonade, a tech-first insurance company, announced the availability of its renters insurance in North Dakota. The expansion offers flexible coverage starting at $5 per month, with rates approximately 30% lower than the national average. The company reports that about 40% of claims are handled instantly, and customers can manage policies entirely through a mobile app.
The company is expanding its geographic footprint to a new state, offering competitive pricing 30% below national average, demonstrating strong operational efficiency with instant claims processing, and maintaining a growing customer base of 3+ million. These factors indicate business growth and market expansion.
NeutralThe Motley Fool• Jennifer Saibil
Lemonade Stock Is Down 40%. Here's What It Would Take to Rise Higher.
Lemonade stock has dropped 40% from its 2025 high despite strong growth metrics, including 32% in-force premium growth and a 23% year-over-year increase in customer count. The company's AI-native platform has significantly improved its loss ratio from 78% to 62%, well below its 70% target. However, the market is waiting for profitability; management is guiding for positive adjusted EBITDA by year-end, which could be the catalyst needed to drive the stock higher.
LMNDAI-native insuranceloss ratio improvementprofitability guidancedigital insurancecustomer growthadjusted EBITDA
Sentiment note
While Lemonade demonstrates strong operational metrics (accelerating premium growth, improving loss ratios, expanding customer base) and a competitive AI advantage, the stock has declined 40% due to lack of profitability. The neutral sentiment reflects both positive fundamentals and the market's current focus on achieving profitability rather than growth alone. Management's guidance for positive adjusted EBITDA by year-end presents a potential near-term catalyst.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Jennifer Saibil
Lemonade's Improving Loss Ratio Is the Real Story. Here's Why It Matters More Than Growth.
Lemonade's improving loss ratio demonstrates the company's path to profitability, which is more significant than its growth metrics. The company's gross loss ratio improved to 62% in Q1 2026 from 78% a year prior, with management guiding toward break-even adjusted EBITDA by year-end and positive net income in 2027. AI-driven underwriting and operational efficiency are enabling Lemonade to scale while keeping costs steady.
The article highlights Lemonade's improving loss ratio trajectory (from 78% to 62% year-over-year), accelerating in-force premium growth (32% YoY), and management's credible path to profitability with guidance for break-even adjusted EBITDA by end of 2026 and positive net income in 2027. AI-driven efficiency improvements and declining employee count relative to IFP growth demonstrate operational leverage.
News and sentiment labels describe article tone and are provided for research purposes only. They are not trading recommendations or forecasts.
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