The GEO Group, Inc. · Industrials · Security & Protection Services
Scores & Status Key
AI Summary Scores: Intraday / Swing / Long scores are synthesized from multi-factor analysis for each timeframe. They summarize current conditions discussed in the report and do not constitute trading recommendations.
Intraday Trend Score: A 0–100 composite from the Trend Explorer™ analytics engine used for ranking and comparison. It describes current conditions and is not a forecast.
Trend Status: A rules-based label (Bullish / Mixed / Bearish) derived from signal confluence (trend structure, momentum, and positioning). It indicates alignment, not expected return.
Last
$29.34
−$1.48 (−4.79%) 4:00 PM ET
Prev closePrevC$30.81
OpenOpen$30.59
Day highHigh$30.60
Day lowLow$29.15
VolumeVol1,845,249
Avg volAvgVol2,535,039
On chart
Interval
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Scale: Linear
Overlays
Panels
Style
Scale: Linear
Presets
Tools
Tickers only (no ^ indexes). Add up to 5.
Mkt cap
$4.06B
EV/Sales
1.96
P/E ratio
13.91
FY Revenue
$2.83B
EPS
2.22
Gross Margin
100.00%
Div yield
0.00%
Sector
Industrials
AI report sections
BEARISH
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
No AI report section text found yet for this symbol.
AI summarized at 9:36 AM ET, 2026-10-05
AI summary scores
INTRADAY:76SWING:81LONG:45
Volume vs average
Intraday (cumulative)
+5% (Above avg)
Vol/Avg: 1.05×
RSI
48.04(Neutral)
Neutral (40–60)
0255075100
MACD momentum
Intraday
-0.02 (Weak)
MACD: -0.04 Signal: -0.02
Short-Term
+0.07 (Strong)
MACD: 0.01 Signal: -0.06
Long-Term
+0.05 (Strong)
MACD: -0.05 Signal: -0.10
Intraday trend score
32.90
LOW30.98HIGH48.69
Latest news
GEO•12 articles•Positive: 8Neutral: 0Negative: 4
PositiveZacks Investment Research• Na
Here's Why Investors Should Hold TT Stock in Their Portfolios Now
Trane Technologies (TT) reported 37% organic bookings growth and a record $12.1B backlog in Q2 2026, driven by sustained HVAC demand and energy-efficient solutions. Free cash flow nearly doubled to $1.6B, supporting shareholder returns and strategic investments. However, the company faces headwinds from input-cost inflation and rising operating expenses, with adjusted operating margin contracting 60 basis points year-over-year despite revenue growth. TT currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) rating.
GEO carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) with 14% long-term earnings growth expectations and strong earnings beat track record (3 of 4 quarters with average 24.6% surprise), indicating solid operational performance and analyst confidence.
PositiveZacks Investment Research• Na
Here's Why Investors Should Hold MAN Stock in Their Portfolios Now
ManpowerGroup (MAN) is experiencing growth fueled by strong Americas and Southern Europe revenues, with cost optimization targeting $200M in annual savings by 2028 and AI adoption expected to boost operating efficiency. However, the company faces headwinds from intense staffing market competition, AI-driven automation threats, and declining cash reserves that limit financial flexibility.
Mentioned as a better-ranked alternative in the Business Services sector with Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), 14% long-term earnings growth expectation, and strong earnings beat record (24.6% average surprise).
PositiveZacks Investment Research• Na
Here's Why Investors Should Hold FDS Stock in Their Portfolios Now
FactSet (FDS) is leveraging AI capabilities and model context protocol (MCP) solutions to drive revenue growth, with AI offerings contributing over 10% of new annual subscription value in Q4 fiscal 2026. The company achieved 14% free cash flow growth to $707M and doubled share repurchases. However, FDS faces headwinds from intensifying AI competition, slowing ASV growth moderation to 5-6.5% in fiscal 2027, and margin pressures from infrastructure investments, leading to a Hold rating.
Mentioned as a better-ranked alternative in the Business Services sector with Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), 14% long-term earnings growth expectation, and strong earnings beat record (3 of 4 quarters with 24.6% average surprise).
PositiveZacks Investment Research• Zacks.Com
Geo Group (GEO) Upgraded to Strong Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?
Geo Group has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) rating, reflecting upward trends in earnings estimates. The private prison operator is positioned in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks based on estimate revisions, suggesting potential near-term stock price appreciation. Analysts have raised consensus estimates by 10.8% over the past three months.
Upgraded to Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) based on upward earnings estimate revisions of 10.8% over three months. Positioned in top 5% of covered stocks, indicating superior earnings estimate revision features and potential for near-term stock price appreciation.
PositiveZacks Investment Research• Na
Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for October 9th
The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO), which owns and manages secure facilities and reentry centers, has been identified as a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stock with strong momentum characteristics. The company's consensus earnings estimate for the current year increased 2.3% over the last 60 days, and its shares gained 76.6% over the last six months, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 13.9% advance. The stock carries a Momentum Score of B.
The company received a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) rating with increasing consensus earnings estimates (+2.3% over 60 days), strong recent price performance (+76.6% over six months vs. S&P 500's +13.9%), and a solid Momentum Score of B, indicating positive technical and fundamental characteristics.
PositiveZacks Investment Research• Na
Recent Price Trend in Geo Group (GEO) is Your Friend, Here's Why
Geo Group (GEO) is highlighted as a solid choice for trend investing, having gained 6.7% over 12 weeks and 1.4% over the past four weeks. The stock carries a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) rating and an Average Broker Recommendation of #1, indicating strong fundamental strength and positive analyst sentiment. The stock is trading at 89.4% of its 52-week high-low range, suggesting potential for further upside.
The stock demonstrates positive price momentum (6.7% gain over 12 weeks, 1.4% over 4 weeks), carries a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) rating in the top 5% of stocks, has an Average Broker Recommendation of #1 (Strong Buy), and is trading at 89.4% of its 52-week high-low range, all indicating strong fundamental strength and bullish outlook.
PositiveBenzinga• Lekha Gupta
Why Is ICE Detention Facility Management Company Geo Group Stock Soaring Today?
The GEO Group reported Q1 2026 results that beat expectations with $705.2M in revenue (vs. $688.9M consensus) and adjusted EPS of $0.29 (vs. $0.20 consensus). The company secured major contract awards in 2025 expected to generate up to $520M in incremental annual revenue, adding roughly 6,000 detention beds. GEO raised its FY2026 guidance with EPS now projected at $1.15-$1.25, driving a 25% stock surge.
Strong Q1 earnings beat on both revenue and EPS, significant contract expansion with $520M incremental annual revenue potential, 17% YoY revenue growth, 32% YoY EBITDA growth, raised full-year guidance, and active share buyback program all indicate strong operational and financial performance.
NegativeThe Motley Fool• Jake Lerch
Investment Manager Closes Position in GEO Stock, Sells $17.6 Million Worth of Shares, According to Recent SEC Filing
Apis Capital Advisors fully exited its position in GEO Group by selling 860,000 shares worth $17.6 million in Q4 2025. The exit reflects operational challenges at the corrections firm, including a 46.8% stock decline over the past year, negative free cash flow of -$125 million, over $1.6 billion in debt, and declining operating margins from 16.2% to 11.4%.
The company faces significant operational headwinds including a 46.8% stock price decline over the past year, negative free cash flow of -$125 million (down from $212 million three years ago), substantial debt of $1.6 billion, and declining operating margins (16.2% to 11.4%). The institutional investor's complete exit signals loss of confidence in the company's financial trajectory.
NegativeThe Motley Fool• Jonathan Ponciano
GEO Stock Down 40%, and One Major Investor Just Cut $6.7 Million From Its Stake
Hodges Capital Management sold 401,146 shares of The GEO Group (GEO) worth approximately $6.7 million in Q4 2025. GEO stock has declined over 40% in the past year amid controversy surrounding Trump's immigration policies, despite strong earnings rebound and expanded ICE contracts. The company posted solid Q4 results with improved EBITDA and positive 2026 guidance, but faces ongoing political and leverage risks.
Stock down 40% over the past year significantly underperforming S&P 500. Major investor reducing position by $6.7 million amid political controversy over immigration policies. While fundamentals show earnings improvement and contract expansion, the stock decline and investor exit signal market concerns about policy risk and valuation despite operational progress.
NegativeBenzinga• Lekha Gupta
GEO Missed Q1 Targets On Rising Costs And Debt, Guides Q2 Below Street Estimates
GEO Group reported Q1 revenue and adjusted EPS that missed analyst expectations, with adjusted EBITDA also declining. However, the company raised its full-year EPS and revenue outlook, anticipating growth in the second half of 2025.
GEOBOUTMGMTGEO GroupQ1 earningsdebtguidance
Sentiment note
The company missed Q1 targets on rising costs and debt, and provided Q2 guidance below street estimates.
NegativeBenzinga• Lekha Gupta
GEO Q4 Earnings: Sales Beat, EPS Miss, New Immigration Contract And More
The GEO Group reported Q4 revenue beating estimates, but EPS fell short due to higher expenses. The company secured a new $1 billion contract with ICE and provided a FY25 outlook with lower EPS and revenue guidance compared to consensus.
The company reported a Q4 EPS miss and provided a weaker-than-expected FY25 outlook, indicating challenges in its business performance.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Geoffrey Seiler
Have $500? 3 Absurdly Cheap Stocks Long-Term Investors Should Buy Right Now
The article discusses three undervalued stocks: Sirius XM Holdings, Geo Group, and e.l.f. Beauty. Sirius XM is seen as attractively valued with opportunities in its satellite radio and Pandora businesses. Geo Group is expected to benefit from increased funding for its electronic monitoring program for immigrants. e.l.f. Beauty is a fast-growing cosmetics company trading at a reasonable valuation.
The article believes Geo Group is well-positioned to benefit from increased funding for its electronic monitoring program for immigrants, which is expected under the new political landscape.
News and sentiment labels describe article tone and are provided for research purposes only. They are not trading recommendations or forecasts.
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