GEO — The GEO Group, Inc. Stock Price, Chart & AI Report

Negative Mar 10, 2026 • 18:18 UTC The Motley Fool • Jake Lerch

Investment Manager Closes Position in GEO Stock, Sells $17.6 Million Worth of Shares, According to Recent SEC Filing

Apis Capital Advisors fully exited its position in GEO Group by selling 860,000 shares worth $17.6 million in Q4 2025. The exit reflects operational challenges at the corrections firm, including a 46.8% stock decline over the past year, negative free cash flow of -$125 million, over $1.6 billion in debt, and declining operating margins from 16.2% to 11.4%.

GEO GEO Group position closure SEC filing corrections firm free cash flow decline debt concerns operating margin decline

Sentiment note

The company faces significant operational headwinds including a 46.8% stock price decline over the past year, negative free cash flow of -$125 million (down from $212 million three years ago), substantial debt of $1.6 billion, and declining operating margins (16.2% to 11.4%). The institutional investor's complete exit signals loss of confidence in the company's financial trajectory.

Negative Feb 12, 2026 • 20:08 UTC The Motley Fool • Jonathan Ponciano

GEO Stock Down 40%, and One Major Investor Just Cut $6.7 Million From Its Stake

Hodges Capital Management sold 401,146 shares of The GEO Group (GEO) worth approximately $6.7 million in Q4 2025. GEO stock has declined over 40% in the past year amid controversy surrounding Trump's immigration policies, despite strong earnings rebound and expanded ICE contracts. The company posted solid Q4 results with improved EBITDA and positive 2026 guidance, but faces ongoing political and leverage risks.

GEO NVDA GEO Group stock decline investor selling immigration policy corrections services earnings rebound

Sentiment note

Stock down 40% over the past year significantly underperforming S&P 500. Major investor reducing position by $6.7 million amid political controversy over immigration policies. While fundamentals show earnings improvement and contract expansion, the stock decline and investor exit signal market concerns about policy risk and valuation despite operational progress.

Negative May 7, 2025 • 15:32 UTC Benzinga • Lekha Gupta

GEO Missed Q1 Targets On Rising Costs And Debt, Guides Q2 Below Street Estimates

GEO Group reported Q1 revenue and adjusted EPS that missed analyst expectations, with adjusted EBITDA also declining. However, the company raised its full-year EPS and revenue outlook, anticipating growth in the second half of 2025.

GEO BOUT MGMT GEO Group Q1 earnings debt guidance

Sentiment note

The company missed Q1 targets on rising costs and debt, and provided Q2 guidance below street estimates.

Negative Feb 27, 2025 • 13:44 UTC Benzinga • Lekha Gupta

GEO Q4 Earnings: Sales Beat, EPS Miss, New Immigration Contract And More

The GEO Group reported Q4 revenue beating estimates, but EPS fell short due to higher expenses. The company secured a new $1 billion contract with ICE and provided a FY25 outlook with lower EPS and revenue guidance compared to consensus.

GEO FNDA MGMT GEO Group earnings revenue EPS ICE contract

Sentiment note

The company reported a Q4 EPS miss and provided a weaker-than-expected FY25 outlook, indicating challenges in its business performance.

Positive Nov 16, 2024 • 08:42 UTC The Motley Fool • Geoffrey Seiler

Have $500? 3 Absurdly Cheap Stocks Long-Term Investors Should Buy Right Now

The article discusses three undervalued stocks: Sirius XM Holdings, Geo Group, and e.l.f. Beauty. Sirius XM is seen as attractively valued with opportunities in its satellite radio and Pandora businesses. Geo Group is expected to benefit from increased funding for its electronic monitoring program for immigrants. e.l.f. Beauty is a fast-growing cosmetics company trading at a reasonable valuation.

SIRI GEO ELF Sirius XM Holdings Geo Group e.l.f. Beauty undervalued stocks market analysis

Sentiment note

The article believes Geo Group is well-positioned to benefit from increased funding for its electronic monitoring program for immigrants, which is expected under the new political landscape.

Positive Nov 9, 2024 • 17:33 UTC Benzinga • Anthony Noto

Deal Dispatch: Prison Companies In Focus Post-Election, Tripadvisor Boasts $11B In Cash

Wellpath Holdings, a major provider of healthcare services to jails, is preparing to file for bankruptcy. Prison stocks Geo Group and CoreCivic moved positively on the news of Donald Trump's 2024 election win. Tripadvisor is exploring strategic alternatives, including a potential sale, with $1.1 billion in cash.

GEO CXW TRIP bankruptcy prison companies Tripadvisor mergers and acquisitions

Sentiment note

Geo Group's stock moved positively on the news of Donald Trump's 2024 election win, as the incoming administration is expected to be more favorable towards the private prison industry.

Positive Jul 17, 2024 • 14:35 UTC Investing.com • Reuters

Factbox-Stocks to watch as Biden, Trump vie for presidency By Reuters - Investing.com

Investors are closely watching stocks that could be impacted by the outcome of the U.S. presidential elections, especially those more exposed to government policy actions such as banking and clean energy.

AMJB JPM JPMPC JPMPD U.S. presidential elections government policy banking clean energy

Sentiment note

U.S. prison operators may benefit from Trump's promises of a crackdown on illegal immigration and restrictions on legal immigration.

Positive Jul 17, 2024 • 05:40 UTC Investing.com • Saqib Iqbal Ahmed And Davide Barbuscia

Analysis - Investors ride the 'Trump trade' as expectations grow for a second term By Reuters - Investing.com Australia

Investors are betting on a second Trump presidency, leading to a rally in stocks that could benefit from his policies, while concerns about higher inflation and fiscal deficits are weighing on the bond market.

GEO RIOT Trump trade second term corporate profits monetary policy fiscal policy inflation

Sentiment note

Shares have risen 33% since the late June debate, as Trump's promised crackdown on illegal immigration could boost demand for detention centers.

Positive Jul 13, 2024 • 15:12 UTC Benzinga • Chris Katje, Benzinga Staff Writer

Charlie Munger Said Trump Was 'Right' On Having 'Way More Control Over Our Borders': 'They Hate Him So Much That They're Against Him Even When He's Right' - Benzinga

Charlie Munger, the late vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, expressed support for Donald Trump's stance on border control, stating that the former president was 'right' on the need for tighter immigration policies. Munger criticized the partisan divide that prevents rational policy-making on this issue.

GEO Charlie Munger Donald Trump immigration border control partisan divide

Sentiment note

The article mentions that prison stocks, including Geo Group, gained after the first presidential debate in the 2024 election, suggesting that the focus on immigration and border control is seen as positive for the industry.

Positive Jul 3, 2024 • 11:56 UTC Investing.com • Reuters

Factbox-Stocks to watch as Biden and Trump vie for presidency By Reuters - Investing.com

The article discusses the potential impact on various stocks depending on whether Biden or Trump wins the upcoming U.S. presidential election. It covers sectors like financials, solar, clean energy, oil, tariffs, and more.

AMJB JPM JPMPC JPMPD U.S. presidential election stocks Biden Trump

Sentiment note

The article suggests that U.S. prison operators, like Geo Group, could benefit from a crackdown on illegal immigration and restrictions on legal immigration under a second Trump administration.

Unknown Jul 1, 2024 • 09:50 UTC Zacks Investment Research • Zacks Equity Research

New Strong Sell Stocks for July 1st

ADNT, ARCB and GEO have been added to the Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) List on July 1, 2024.

GEO ARCB ADNT

Unknown May 14, 2024 • 13:00 UTC Zacks Investment Research • Zacks Equity Research

Geo Group Inc (The) (GEO) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It

Geo Group (GEO) has received quite a bit of attention from Zacks.com users lately. Therefore, it is wise to be aware of the facts that can impact the stock's prospects.

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