Firefly Aerospace Inc. · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Scores & Status Key
AI Summary Scores: Intraday / Swing / Long scores are synthesized from multi-factor analysis for each timeframe. They summarize current conditions discussed in the report and do not constitute trading recommendations.
Intraday Trend Score: A 0–100 composite from the Trend Explorer™ analytics engine used for ranking and comparison. It describes current conditions and is not a forecast.
Trend Status: A rules-based label (Bullish / Mixed / Bearish) derived from signal confluence (trend structure, momentum, and positioning). It indicates alignment, not expected return.
Last
$19.27
+$0.24 (+1.26%) 4:00 PM ET
Prev closePrevC$19.03
OpenOpen$18.30
Day highHigh$20.21
Day lowLow$18.05
VolumeVol4,995,687
Avg volAvgVol6,240,319
On chart
Interval
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Scale: Linear
Overlays
Panels
Style
Scale: Linear
Presets
Tools
Tickers only (no ^ indexes). Add up to 5.
Mkt cap
$3.13B
P/E ratio
-3.52
FY Revenue
$184.88M
EPS
-5.47
Gross Margin
24.83%
Sector
Industrials
AI report sections
MIXED
FLY
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
Firefly Aerospace combines rapid top-line growth and a sizeable cash position with very weak profitability and deeply negative free cash flow. The share price is in an upward technical phase with momentum indicators and breakout patterns pointing to a bullish bias, yet elevated valuation multiples and overbought readings introduce downside and volatility risk. Short interest and news flow indicate constructive sentiment toward the space sector while still leaving room for sharp sentiment reversals if expectations are not met.
AI summarized at 12:29 PM ET, 2026-04-03
AI summary scores
INTRADAY:68SWING:72LONG:34
Volume vs average
Intraday (cumulative)
+36% (Above avg)
Vol/Avg: 1.36×
RSI
27.42(Oversold)
Oversold (<30)
0255075100
MACD momentum
Intraday
-0.02 (Weak)
MACD: -0.00 Signal: 0.02
Short-Term
-0.36 (Weak)
MACD: -3.88 Signal: -3.52
Long-Term
-0.61 (Weak)
MACD: -5.58 Signal: -4.97
Intraday trend score
49.84
LOW35.84HIGH55.34
Latest news
FLY•12 articles•Positive: 5Neutral: 5Negative: 2
NeutralGlobeNewswire Inc.• Na
Firefly Aerospace to Announce Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results on August 11, 2026
Firefly Aerospace announced it will release its second quarter 2026 financial results on August 11, 2026, after market close, followed by a conference call at 4:00 p.m. CT. The company will host a live webcast with replay available on its investor relations website.
The article is a procedural announcement regarding the timing and logistics of financial results release and conference call. While the company has received significant NASA contracts (mentioned in related news items), this specific article contains no substantive business developments, financial performance data, or forward-looking statements that would indicate positive or negative sentiment. It is purely informational about investor communication logistics.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Brendan Coffey
Firefly Aerospace vs. Rocket Lab USA: Which Space Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?
Firefly Aerospace and Rocket Lab USA represent two different approaches to the expanding space economy. Firefly achieved 135% revenue growth in FY 2025 with successful lunar missions, while Rocket Lab is pursuing an $8 billion acquisition of Iridium Communications to become a comprehensive space systems provider. The article recommends Rocket Lab for 2026 despite both companies showing promise, citing its potential to compete with SpaceX through the transformative Iridium deal.
Company demonstrated exceptional 135% revenue growth, achieved successful lunar landing (Blue Ghost Mission I), secured NASA contracts for annual lunar missions, and trades at attractive valuation (P/S 26.2x). However, high customer concentration (86% from top 5 clients) and negative free cash flow present risks.
NeutralGlobeNewswire Inc.• Usa News Group Market Commentary
As SpaceX Goes Public, the Market Hunts for the Next Investable Launch Company
SpaceX's IPO on Nasdaq (ticker SPCX) has validated the commercial space sector at scale and triggered investor interest in public launch companies. Rocket Lab (RKLB) is positioned as the leading alternative, with record Q1 2026 revenue of $200.3M, a $2.2B+ backlog, and its Neutron medium-lift rocket expected to debut in 2026 as a potential Falcon 9 competitor. Other players like Firefly Aerospace and Karman Holdings offer distinct exposure to the broader space-systems landscape.
Record Q1 2026 revenue ($80.9M, +45% YoY) shows growth, but company operates at a loss with heavy investment spending; distinct business model but execution risk remains.
NeutralThe Motley Fool• Rich Smith
This Space Station Company Will Now Go to the Moon, Too
Voyager Technologies, a space station company building the Starlab replacement for the International Space Station, has acquired lunar lander company Astrobotic for up to $300 million. This move positions Voyager to become a leading NASA contractor for lunar missions, with Astrobotic's Griffin lander and LunaGrid power system adding critical capabilities for building a permanent moon base. The acquisition could prove highly valuable given Astrobotic's $323 million NASA contract and potential to reclaim a $610 million VIPER lander contract.
Noted as the first company to land a lander upright in 2025. While this is a technical achievement, the article does not suggest competitive advantage over Astrobotic/Voyager for upcoming NASA contracts.
PositiveBenzinga• Erica Kollmann
Rocket Lab, Firefly Upgraded — SpaceX IPO Was Your Chance To Load These Stocks
KeyBanc Capital Markets upgraded Rocket Lab (RKLB) and Firefly Aerospace (FLY) to Overweight, viewing the post-SpaceX IPO selloff as a buying opportunity. RKLB has a $135 price target implying 26% upside, driven by its Neutron medium-lift rocket and $2.2B+ backlog. FLY's $50 target suggests 48.5% upside, supported by its successful lunar lander and NASA contracts. Both companies benefit from growing satellite constellations, undersupplied launch markets, and increased defense spending on space systems.
Upgraded to Overweight with $50 price target (48.5% upside). Unique NASA leverage through successful Blue Ghost lunar lander, $75M MoonFall contract award, and SciTec defense software. Stock trades at low valuation (~6.5x FY27 P/S) relative to peer range.
NegativeBenzinga• Piero Cingari
Stock Market Today: SpaceX Jumps To $175, Rocks Space Rivals
SpaceX debuted on Nasdaq at $175, up 30% from its $135 IPO price in the world's largest IPO at $1.75 trillion valuation. The listing triggered a rotation in the space sector, with competitors experiencing significant declines. The broader market was mixed, with the S&P 500 up 0.2%, Dow up 0.5%, and Nasdaq down 0.1%, as geopolitical concerns about U.S.-Iran negotiations and falling oil prices influenced trading.
Sank 17% due to competitive pressure from SpaceX's market entry
PositiveBenzinga• Erica Kollmann
Houston, We Have A Rally: Space Stocks Pop Ahead Of SpaceX Debut
Space sector stocks surged Thursday ahead of SpaceX's historic Nasdaq IPO debut Friday. SpaceX is pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $75 billion raise and $1.78 trillion valuation—the largest IPO in history. Momentum Inc. led gains at 28%, while Virgin Galactic jumped 22.6%. Other space stocks including Intuitive Machines, Rocket Lab, and AST SpaceMobile also rallied as investors rotated into space-themed names lacking direct SpaceX exposure.
Added 13.41% as investors rotate into space-themed stocks ahead of SpaceX debut
NeutralThe Motley Fool• John Bromels
There's a Ticking Time Bomb Hidden Inside SpaceX's IPO Prospectus. Is It Still Worth the Risk?
SpaceX's IPO prospectus reveals significant shareholder dilution risks. The company's $135 IPO price is backed by only $7.85 in tangible book value per share (94.2% dilution). Additionally, SpaceX faces imminent share issuance obligations: a $19.8 billion EchoStar spectrum deal requiring 261.8 million new shares by November 2027, and a potential $60 billion Cursor AI acquisition requiring 444.4 million shares. Combined with other stock options and authorized shares, these could dilute existing shareholders by roughly 12.6% within 18 months of trading.
SATSGOOGGOOGLGOOGMIPOshareholder dilutionstock issuancebook value
Sentiment note
Used as a comparative benchmark showing 87% IPO dilution, which is less severe than SpaceX's 94.2%, but no independent analysis or recommendation provided.
NeutralThe Motley Fool• Rich Smith
NASA Has Big Plans for the Moon. Here Are Some of Them.
NASA announced a three-phase Moon Base program through 2032 and beyond, with Phase 1 involving 25 launches and 21 landings by 2029. Three initial contracts were awarded to Blue Origin, SpaceX, Intuitive Machines, and Firefly Aerospace. However, a recent Blue Origin New Glenn rocket explosion has jeopardized the timeline, potentially delaying missions by months or years and affecting the $20 billion in planned contracts.
Secured MoonFall mission contract scheduled for 2027, but the overall NASA Moon Base timeline is now uncertain due to Blue Origin's setback affecting Phase 1 completion.
NegativeBenzinga• Erica Kollmann
Space Stocks Bleed: Redwire, Momentus Down More Than 20% As SpaceX IPO Fatigue Hits
The space sector experienced significant losses this week as multiple space stocks declined sharply. Virgin Galactic's short squeeze collapsed, dropping 30.58%, while Redwire fell 24.22% and Momentus declined 22.14%. The selloff was driven by SpaceX IPO fatigue after the company reduced its valuation target from $2 trillion to $1.75 trillion, with pricing set for June 11 at $135 per share.
Japanese space companies Astroscale and SKY Perfect JSAT announced a strategic partnership to develop on-orbit satellite services. While the partnership shows promise, Astroscale faces significant competition from established U.S. companies like Northrop Grumman, Rocket Lab, Blue Origin, and Firefly Aerospace. Astroscale remains unprofitable with analysts not expecting profitability until 2029.
SKPJYNOCRKLBFLYspace stockson-orbit servicessatellite servicingJapan space industry
Sentiment note
Up-and-coming competitor with planned Elytra space tugs in three sizes, positioning itself as a significant player in the nascent on-orbit services market.
PositiveBenzinga• Na
Firefly Aerospace Announces Pricing of Public Offering of Common Stock
Firefly Aerospace (NASDAQ: FLY) announced the pricing of its public offering at $48.00 per share, comprising 4 million shares from the company and 8 million shares from selling stockholders. The offering is expected to close on June 1, 2026. Firefly intends to use net proceeds to support growth of core business and recently awarded programs. Major underwriters include Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, Jefferies, and Wells Fargo Securities.
FLYpublic offeringstock pricingcapital raisespace and defense technologylunar landerlaunch vehicles
Sentiment note
The company is raising capital through a public offering at $48 per share to fund growth initiatives and recently awarded programs, indicating strong business momentum and investor confidence. The involvement of major underwriters and the company's achievements (first commercial company to launch satellite with 24-hour notice and successful Moon landing) demonstrate market strength and operational success.
News and sentiment labels describe article tone and are provided for research purposes only. They are not trading recommendations or forecasts.
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