Firefly Aerospace Inc. · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Scores & Status Key
AI Summary Scores: Intraday / Swing / Long scores are synthesized from multi-factor analysis for each timeframe. They summarize current conditions discussed in the report and do not constitute trading recommendations.
Intraday Trend Score: A 0–100 composite from the Trend Explorer™ analytics engine used for ranking and comparison. It describes current conditions and is not a forecast.
Trend Status: A rules-based label (Bullish / Mixed / Bearish) derived from signal confluence (trend structure, momentum, and positioning). It indicates alignment, not expected return.
At close
$20.31
−$0.36 (−1.74%) Close
Prev closePrevC$20.67
OpenOpen$20.62
Day highHigh$20.62
Day lowLow$20.31
VolumeVol8,441
Avg volAvgVol2,968,847
On chart
Interval
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Scale: Linear
Overlays
Panels
Style
Scale: Linear
Presets
Tools
Tickers only (no ^ indexes). Add up to 5.
Mkt cap
$3.46B
EV/Sales
10.56
P/E ratio
-9.19
FY Revenue
$287.01M
EPS
-2.21
Gross Margin
22.92%
Div yield
0.14%
Sector
Industrials
AI report sections
BEARISH
FLY
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
Firefly Aerospace combines rapid top-line growth and a sizeable cash position with very weak profitability and deeply negative free cash flow. The share price is in an upward technical phase with momentum indicators and breakout patterns pointing to a bullish bias, yet elevated valuation multiples and overbought readings introduce downside and volatility risk. Short interest and news flow indicate constructive sentiment toward the space sector while still leaving room for sharp sentiment reversals if expectations are not met.
AI summarized at 12:29 PM ET, 2026-04-03
AI summary scores
INTRADAY:68SWING:72LONG:34
Volume vs average
Intraday (cumulative)
−18% (Below avg)
Vol/Avg: 0.82×
RSI
36.13(Weak)
Weak (30–40)
0255075100
MACD momentum
Intraday
-0.01 (Weak)
MACD: -0.04 Signal: -0.03
Short-Term
-0.45 (Weak)
MACD: -0.76 Signal: -0.31
Long-Term
-0.21 (Weak)
MACD: -1.77 Signal: -1.57
Intraday trend score
29.85
LOW29.85HIGH29.85
Latest news
FLY•12 articles•Positive: 7Neutral: 3Negative: 2
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Brendan Coffey
AST SpaceMobile vs. Firefly Aerospace: Which Outer Space Upstart Is a Better Buy in 2026?
The article compares two space economy companies with different business models. AST SpaceMobile is building a satellite-based cellular broadband network with major carrier partnerships, while Firefly Aerospace provides launch services and lunar landers for government and commercial customers. Both are unprofitable but show strong revenue growth. The author recommends Firefly Aerospace as the better buy due to its lower valuation (P/S ratio of 12.9x vs 149x), successful lunar landing achievement, and NASA partnership, despite both companies carrying significant execution risks.
Company demonstrates operational success with first private lunar landing (March 2025), strong revenue growth (163% YoY to $159.9M), established NASA partnership with annual lunar missions, conservative debt levels (0.3x debt-to-equity), and more reasonable valuation (12.9x P/S). Author's recommended pick despite negative FCF and post-IPO volatility.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Brendan Coffey
Archer Aviation vs. Firefly Aerospace: Which Aerospace Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?
The article compares two aerospace companies: Archer Aviation, which develops electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for urban air mobility, and Firefly Aerospace, which provides space launch services and lunar landers. Firefly is recommended as the better investment due to its lower valuation multiple (12.9x P/S vs. 626x), proven track record with a successful lunar landing, $1.4B in secured contracts, and 163% revenue growth. Archer faces higher risks from FAA certification delays and unproven commercialization, despite strategic partnerships with United Airlines.
ACHRACHR.WSFLYUALeVTOL aircrafturban air mobilityspace launch serviceslunar landers
Sentiment note
Demonstrates stronger fundamentals with 163% revenue growth, proven operational success (lunar landing in March 2025), diversified customer base (NASA, U.S. Space Force, Lockheed Martin), $1.4B secured backlog, and lower valuation (12.9x P/S). Despite current losses and recent IPO status, the company shows clear path to profitability with Wall Street projections of $1B revenue by fiscal 2028.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Rich Smith
NASA Searches Couch Cushions, Finds Another $600 Million for Moon Missions
NASA announced nearly $600 million in new lunar landing contracts split among three space companies to support its moon base construction plans. Astrobotic received the largest award at $297.9 million for two payload deliveries, while Intuitive Machines and Firefly Aerospace each received $148.3 million and $144.2 million respectively for single payload deliveries. However, profitability timelines remain distant for these contractors.
Awarded $144.2 million contract for lunar payload delivery, though profitability not expected until 2029 at earliest, presenting higher risk than Intuitive Machines.
NegativeGlobeNewswire Inc.• Kuehn Law, Pllc
Kuehn Law Encourages Investors of Firefly Aerospace Inc. to Contact Law Firm
Kuehn Law is investigating whether officers and directors of Firefly Aerospace Inc. breached fiduciary duties by misrepresenting demand for Spacecraft Solutions and overstating the operational readiness of its Alpha rocket program. The law firm is seeking shareholders who purchased stock prior to September 1, 2025.
The company is under investigation for alleged fiduciary breaches and material misrepresentations regarding product demand, operational readiness, and commercial viability. These allegations suggest serious governance and disclosure failures that would negatively impact shareholder value.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• James Brumley
Rocket Lab CEO Peter Beck Says Watch the Test Stands. Here's Why the Neutron Timeline Means Everything for Investors.
Rocket Lab faces critical pressure to deliver its Neutron medium-lift rocket on schedule after pushing first flights to late 2026. With multiple competitors like Firefly Aerospace, Relativity Space, and Blue Origin advancing their own medium-lift rockets, delays could cause customers to switch providers. Rocket Lab's long-term success depends on successful Neutron launches within the next year.
Developing Eclipse medium-lift rocket in partnership with Northrop Grumman with potential first flight as soon as next year, positioning it as a near-term competitive threat to Rocket Lab's market share.
NeutralGlobeNewswire Inc.• Na
Firefly Aerospace to Announce Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results on August 11, 2026
Firefly Aerospace announced it will release its second quarter 2026 financial results on August 11, 2026, after market close, followed by a conference call at 4:00 p.m. CT. The company will host a live webcast with replay available on its investor relations website.
The article is a procedural announcement regarding the timing and logistics of financial results release and conference call. While the company has received significant NASA contracts (mentioned in related news items), this specific article contains no substantive business developments, financial performance data, or forward-looking statements that would indicate positive or negative sentiment. It is purely informational about investor communication logistics.
PositiveThe Motley Fool• Brendan Coffey
Firefly Aerospace vs. Rocket Lab USA: Which Space Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?
Firefly Aerospace and Rocket Lab USA represent two different approaches to the expanding space economy. Firefly achieved 135% revenue growth in FY 2025 with successful lunar missions, while Rocket Lab is pursuing an $8 billion acquisition of Iridium Communications to become a comprehensive space systems provider. The article recommends Rocket Lab for 2026 despite both companies showing promise, citing its potential to compete with SpaceX through the transformative Iridium deal.
Company demonstrated exceptional 135% revenue growth, achieved successful lunar landing (Blue Ghost Mission I), secured NASA contracts for annual lunar missions, and trades at attractive valuation (P/S 26.2x). However, high customer concentration (86% from top 5 clients) and negative free cash flow present risks.
NeutralGlobeNewswire Inc.• Usa News Group Market Commentary
As SpaceX Goes Public, the Market Hunts for the Next Investable Launch Company
SpaceX's IPO on Nasdaq (ticker SPCX) has validated the commercial space sector at scale and triggered investor interest in public launch companies. Rocket Lab (RKLB) is positioned as the leading alternative, with record Q1 2026 revenue of $200.3M, a $2.2B+ backlog, and its Neutron medium-lift rocket expected to debut in 2026 as a potential Falcon 9 competitor. Other players like Firefly Aerospace and Karman Holdings offer distinct exposure to the broader space-systems landscape.
Record Q1 2026 revenue ($80.9M, +45% YoY) shows growth, but company operates at a loss with heavy investment spending; distinct business model but execution risk remains.
NeutralThe Motley Fool• Rich Smith
This Space Station Company Will Now Go to the Moon, Too
Voyager Technologies, a space station company building the Starlab replacement for the International Space Station, has acquired lunar lander company Astrobotic for up to $300 million. This move positions Voyager to become a leading NASA contractor for lunar missions, with Astrobotic's Griffin lander and LunaGrid power system adding critical capabilities for building a permanent moon base. The acquisition could prove highly valuable given Astrobotic's $323 million NASA contract and potential to reclaim a $610 million VIPER lander contract.
Noted as the first company to land a lander upright in 2025. While this is a technical achievement, the article does not suggest competitive advantage over Astrobotic/Voyager for upcoming NASA contracts.
PositiveBenzinga• Erica Kollmann
Rocket Lab, Firefly Upgraded — SpaceX IPO Was Your Chance To Load These Stocks
KeyBanc Capital Markets upgraded Rocket Lab (RKLB) and Firefly Aerospace (FLY) to Overweight, viewing the post-SpaceX IPO selloff as a buying opportunity. RKLB has a $135 price target implying 26% upside, driven by its Neutron medium-lift rocket and $2.2B+ backlog. FLY's $50 target suggests 48.5% upside, supported by its successful lunar lander and NASA contracts. Both companies benefit from growing satellite constellations, undersupplied launch markets, and increased defense spending on space systems.
Upgraded to Overweight with $50 price target (48.5% upside). Unique NASA leverage through successful Blue Ghost lunar lander, $75M MoonFall contract award, and SciTec defense software. Stock trades at low valuation (~6.5x FY27 P/S) relative to peer range.
NegativeBenzinga• Piero Cingari
Stock Market Today: SpaceX Jumps To $175, Rocks Space Rivals
SpaceX debuted on Nasdaq at $175, up 30% from its $135 IPO price in the world's largest IPO at $1.75 trillion valuation. The listing triggered a rotation in the space sector, with competitors experiencing significant declines. The broader market was mixed, with the S&P 500 up 0.2%, Dow up 0.5%, and Nasdaq down 0.1%, as geopolitical concerns about U.S.-Iran negotiations and falling oil prices influenced trading.
Sank 17% due to competitive pressure from SpaceX's market entry
PositiveBenzinga• Erica Kollmann
Houston, We Have A Rally: Space Stocks Pop Ahead Of SpaceX Debut
Space sector stocks surged Thursday ahead of SpaceX's historic Nasdaq IPO debut Friday. SpaceX is pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $75 billion raise and $1.78 trillion valuation—the largest IPO in history. Momentum Inc. led gains at 28%, while Virgin Galactic jumped 22.6%. Other space stocks including Intuitive Machines, Rocket Lab, and AST SpaceMobile also rallied as investors rotated into space-themed names lacking direct SpaceX exposure.
Added 13.41% as investors rotate into space-themed stocks ahead of SpaceX debut
News and sentiment labels describe article tone and are provided for research purposes only. They are not trading recommendations or forecasts.
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