AI Summary Scores: Intraday / Swing / Long scores are synthesized from multi-factor analysis for each timeframe. They summarize current conditions discussed in the report and do not constitute trading recommendations.
Intraday Trend Score: A 0–100 composite from the Trend Explorer™ analytics engine used for ranking and comparison. It describes current conditions and is not a forecast.
Trend Status: A rules-based label (Bullish / Mixed / Bearish) derived from signal confluence (trend structure, momentum, and positioning). It indicates alignment, not expected return.
At close
$64.23
+$2.15 (+3.46%) Close
Prev closePrevC$62.08
OpenOpen$61.95
Day highHigh$64.26
Day lowLow$61.95
VolumeVol1,283
Avg volAvgVol7,791,498
On chart
Interval
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Intervals apply to 1D & 5D.
Scale: Linear
Overlays
Panels
Style
Scale: Linear
Presets
Tools
Tickers only (no ^ indexes). Add up to 5.
Mkt cap
$16.08B
P/E ratio
14.70
FY Revenue
$12.83B
EPS
4.37
Gross Margin
16.94%
Sector
Materials
AI report sections
MIXED
AA
Alcoa Corporation
Alcoa exhibits strong positive price momentum over the past 3–12 months alongside improving profitability and double‑digit net income and EPS growth. At the same time, free cash flow margins and yield remain modest relative to earnings-based valuation multiples, and price volatility and short-term volume surges point to elevated near-term trading risk. Overall, the data depict an uptrending cyclical commodity name with moderate leverage and mid-teens returns on equity balanced against exposure to commodity cycles and relatively low dividend income.
AI summarized at 12:16 PM ET, 2026-02-25
AI summary scores
INTRADAY:68SWING:74LONG:63
Volume vs average
Intraday (cumulative)
−29% (Below avg)
Vol/Avg: 0.71×
RSI
57.12(Neutral)
Neutral (40–60)
0255075100
MACD momentum
Intraday
+0.04 (Strong)
MACD: 0.03 Signal: -0.01
Short-Term
+0.21 (Strong)
MACD: 1.03 Signal: 0.82
Long-Term
-0.09 (Weak)
MACD: 3.08 Signal: 3.17
Intraday trend score
46.20
LOW46.20HIGH67.20
Latest news
AA•12 articles•Positive: 5Neutral: 5Negative: 2
NeutralThe Motley Fool• Eric Trie
Stock Market Today, Feb. 26: UiPath Advances as It Moves to Shape Agentic AI Standards
UiPath shares rose 7.80% to $10.71 after joining the Agentic AI Foundation as a Gold Member, positioning itself to shape standards in agent-based AI automation. The company reported its first GAAP-profitable quarter with 16% revenue growth to $411 million, though the stock remains down 84% since its 2021 IPO. Investors are watching whether this role in agentic AI standards translates to higher adoption and accelerated spending.
PATHAABPagentic AIautomation standardsrobotic process automationenterprise spendingAI adoption
Sentiment note
Mentioned as RPA industry peer with minimal movement, down 2.20% on the day. No specific company news or analysis provided.
PositiveGlobeNewswire Inc.• Marketsandmarkets
Aluminum Extrusion Market worth $166.65 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 7.0%, says MarketsandMarkets™
The global aluminum extrusion market is estimated at USD 111.88 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 166.65 billion by 2030 at a CAGR of 7.0%. Growth is driven by rising demand from construction, automotive, and electronics sectors, with Asia Pacific leading regional expansion. Key challenges include high energy consumption and raw material cost volatility.
Major global aluminum extrusion player with established market presence and robust business strategies positioned to benefit from 7.0% CAGR growth.
PositiveBenzinga• Lekha Gupta
Why Is Alcoa Stock Trading Higher On Wednesday?
Alcoa shares rose 5.18% on Wednesday following an agreement with the Australian Federal Government to modernize its mining approvals framework. The company will conduct a Strategic Assessment through 2045 while continuing operations at Huntly and Willowdale mines. Alcoa agreed to pay $36 million (AUD 55 million) in enforceable undertakings related to past land clearing and will take a $19 million charge to Q4 2025 results. The company commits to limiting annual clearing to 800 hectares and increasing rehabilitation to 1,000 hectares by 2027.
Stock trading 5.18% higher on news of modernized approvals framework agreement, which provides operational clarity and long-term certainty through 2045. Despite $36 million settlement and $19 million charge, the agreement reduces regulatory uncertainty and aligns with sustainability commitments, supporting the company's long-term strategy.
NeutralInvesting.com• Luis Flavio Nunes
The Pentagon Just Became a Stock Picker: Here’s the 1 Trade You Can Make
The Pentagon is investing $1.9 billion in domestic gallium production to reduce dependence on China, which controls nearly all global supply. Alcoa is the only publicly traded company receiving Pentagon backing, planning to produce 100 metric tons of gallium annually from its Australian refinery starting late 2026. While gallium prices have tripled to $1,722/kg due to supply concerns, the trade faces significant risks: potential Chinese market flooding, project delays, and demand disappointment could crash prices to $700-800/kg, making American projects unprofitable.
Alcoa presents a mixed opportunity with genuine upside potential from gallium production (potentially $100M+ annual profit) but significant downside risks. The stock has already appreciated 130% in two years, pricing in much of the story. Success depends heavily on gallium prices remaining elevated and geopolitical tensions persisting through 2027, while Chinese competition and market oversupply pose substantial threats. The trade requires precise timing and active management rather than a long-term hold.
PositiveBenzinga• Lekha Gupta
Alcoa Cashes In On Higher Aluminum Prices, Eyes More Output In 2026
Alcoa Corporation reported strong fourth-quarter results with revenue of $3.45 billion (up 15% Q/Q) and adjusted EPS of $1.26, both exceeding consensus expectations. The company benefited from higher aluminum prices, increased shipment volumes, and carbon compensation benefits. For 2026, Alcoa projects increased alumina and aluminum production driven by smelter restarts and productivity gains, though Q1 2026 is expected to face headwinds from seasonal maintenance and absence of carbon compensation benefits.
Strong Q4 results with revenue and EPS beating consensus expectations, driven by higher aluminum prices and increased shipment volumes. Positive 2026 outlook with projected increases in both alumina and aluminum production supported by smelter restarts. Stock trading near 52-week highs with premarket gains.
NegativeInvesting.com• Ali Merchant
Week Ahead: Trade War Risks Are Back—and Markets Are Pricing Them In
Trade war fears resurged as Trump threatened tariffs on NATO countries over Greenland, causing Asian stocks to fall and US futures to drop 1%. Markets shifted to safe havens like gold (hitting record $4,701/oz) and the Swiss franc. Key earnings from Netflix, 3M, and others are expected this week, while the Supreme Court may rule on Trump's tariff authority and Fed independence.
Expected 11% earnings decline and 6% sales drop amid higher aluminum tariffs from Canada. Stock has pulled back from recent highs with limited upside.
NegativeBenzinga• Stjepan Kalinic
AI Is Squeezing Aluminum And Limiting Clean Technology Advances
AI's massive power consumption is disrupting the aluminum industry by outbidding smelters for electricity, potentially constraining global aluminum supply and hindering clean technology development.
Facing reduced domestic industrial base and challenges from high power costs that threaten aluminum smelting operations
PositiveBenzinga• Stjepan Kalinic
Trump's $8.5 Billion Deal With Australia Challenges Chinese Dominance
President Trump and Australian Prime Minister Albanese signed a multibillion-dollar partnership to secure critical mineral supply chains, challenging China's market dominance by investing in rare earth and gallium mining projects.
Secured $200 million in joint investment for gallium recovery project, reducing dependence on China
NeutralBenzinga• Stjepan Kalinic
Tariff Impact Exposes Aluminum Market Fragility
U.S. tariffs on aluminum are disrupting global supply chains, causing price volatility, and threatening European recycling industries, with significant implications for manufacturing and clean energy sectors.
Mentioned as a U.S. aluminum producer affected by market disruptions, but not specifically highlighted as suffering significant negative consequences
PositiveInvesting.com• Gabriel Osorio-Mazzilli
Cyclical Rebound or False Start for These 3 Stocks?
The article analyzes three cyclical stocks in the industrial and transportation sectors, suggesting potential market recovery driven by improving earnings and expectations of lower interest rates by year-end.
Trading at 60% of 52-week high, beat Q2 earnings, received Citi upgrade with $42 price target implying 47% potential upside, expected EPS growth of 46%
NeutralThe Motley Fool• Na
Alcoa Reports $3 Billion in Q2 Revenue
Alcoa reported Q2 2025 revenue of $3.02 billion, with strategic moves including a $1.35 billion Ma'aden joint venture sale and resolving an Australian tax dispute. The company faces challenges from U.S. aluminum tariffs and delayed mine approvals, impacting its operational flexibility.
AAaluminumtariffsminingjoint ventureearnings
Sentiment note
Mixed financial performance with positive strategic moves like Ma'aden sale and tax dispute resolution, offset by challenges from tariffs, delayed mine approvals, and ongoing market volatility
NeutralInvesting.com• Marketbeat.Com
Alcoa’s Solid Earnings Don’t Make Tariff Math Easier for AA Stock
Alcoa reported solid Q1 earnings, but the stock is down due to concerns over the impact of tariffs on the company's future performance. Alcoa reaffirmed its guidance despite expecting $100 million in annual tariff costs, but analysts remain cautious on the stock due to the uncertain tariff environment.
AAAlcoatariffsearningsguidance
Sentiment note
Alcoa reported strong Q1 earnings, but the stock is down due to concerns over the impact of tariffs on the company's future performance. While Alcoa reaffirmed its guidance, analysts remain cautious on the stock due to the uncertain tariff environment.
News and sentiment labels describe article tone and are provided for research purposes only. They are not trading recommendations or forecasts.
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